Thinking about vulnerability and adaptive capacity
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Thinking about vulnerability and adaptive capacity. Scale of analysis (and action). Adaptation research has scaled up to the community level Systems research Structural parameters/slow variables What does community level illuminate? Articulation and linkages Obscures heterogeneity.

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Presentation Transcript

Scale of analysis and action
Scale of analysis (and action)

Adaptation research has scaled up to the community level

Systems research

Structural parameters/slow variables

What does community level illuminate?

Articulation and linkages

Obscures heterogeneity


Current challenges to ac as an analytical concept
Current challenges to AC as an analytical concept

Is more than assets

How do people mobilize AC?

Institutions are key

Measure vs. characterize

ACs do not exist in isolation

Synergies and trade-offs

Generic and specific ACs

Identify specific risks

What are the priority investments?

AC can be enhanced and eroded


Ac implications of policy responses

Adger et. al 2011

AC implications of policy responses

Ecological and social AC Constrain local responses

Mask feedbacks Problem framing


Methods trajectories

Methods - Trajectories -


Value of past as analogue
Value of past as analogue

Tensions between history and unknown future

Cultural logic of adaptation


Trajectories
Trajectories

Directionality

Historical depth

Inflection points


Ne brazil
NE Brazil

Characterizing risk

Measuring trends

Explaining trends


Value of understanding trajectories
Value of understanding trajectories

Identify what works/inflection points

Measure adaptive capacities

Determine clustering of ACs


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