Law Enforcement 2025?

1. Law Enforcement2025? Kismet or Karma? Prepared by Commander Sid Heal, (Retired) Los Angeles Sheriff’s Department

2. Group You! A Glimpse of the Future Can TechnologyMake a Difference? Q & A

3. In a time of drastic change,it is the learners who inherit the future.The learned usually find themselves (well) equipped to live in a worldthat no longer exists. Eric Hoffer

4. What have we been missing? • Law enforcement is not a monopoly • Increase in Private Security • Private Patrol • Private detention centers • Nearly all crime is historically contextual • Carjackings, identity theft, cell phone cloning, Internet fraud • Is smoking gradually becoming illegal? • Is marijuana gradually becoming legal?

5. Robberies 1973 2005

6. Property Crime Total Property Theft Burglary GTA 1973 2005

7. Societal Trends affectingLaw Enforcement • Cashless Society • Ubiquitous Connectivity • Blurring of War and Crime • Transmutation of Culture

8. Cashless Society • Checks, ATM cards, credit cards, debit cards, internet shopping, electronic transfers • Counterfeiting? • Street robberies? • Narco? • Terrorism?

9. Ubiquitous Connectivity • Cell phones, PDAs, digital pagers, laptop computers, palm computers, personal radios, Bluetooth headphones, wireless internet, VOIP, ad infinitum • Public service typically takes 48 months to embrace a new technology, as opposed to 18 months for personal • Increase in absentee ballots • Semi-Autonomous, self-dispatched,self-organized responses • Flattened hierarchy • Incorporation of subject matter experts

10. Blurring of War and Crime • Soldiers and Marines carrying pepper spray, TASERs, shields and batons • English “Bobbies” carrying submachine guns

11. Transmutation of Culture • Religions, customs, behaviors, politics, traits, etc. from regions and countries to cyberspace • In cyberspace, everyone is contiguous! • Hobby Tribes • Unorthodox ideological inspiration • From fanatical fans to irrational ideologues • Migration of crime • Fraud, identity theft, child pornography, trade secret theft • Jurisdictional issues

12. Five Technology Imperatives • Technology development always follows the path of least resistance • Entrance is often in the form of toys (Four zones of privacy) • Any technology always precipitates three concerns. • It creates new options—thus we are no longer confined by the conventional • it challenges assumptions—thus we confront the habitual • it blurs ethical guidelines—just because we can do something doesn’t necessarily mean we should • In law enforcement capability always exceeds acceptability • For every gateway to the future stand a thousand guardians of the past • Technology is always in a supporting role • Technology testing is always “in addition to”and not “instead of.”

13. Stages of Weapons Development • Innovation — introduced and properly exploited provides substantial, sometimes decisive advantage • Standardization — conventional tools and methods of “doing business” with established and accepted protocols • Ritualization— accepted without challenge and habitually employed • Satirization— unrecognized obsolescence with unrelenting allegiance

14. Technology “Bump” Technology“Bump” Effort Status Quo Time

15. See-Through-The-Wall Radar Directed Energy Vehicle Stopper Launched Listening Device Active Denial System Global Positioning Systems C4I—Command, Control, Communications, Computers & Intelligence Magnetic Acoustic Device Gunfire Location Systems Automatic License Plate Readers “Trap line” Camera System Unmanned Aerial Vehicles Community Communications Network Cyber-Command Post The “Low Hanging Fruit”

16. So what are theImplications? Thanks to Commander Sid Heal (Ret.) Los Angeles Sheriff’s Dept.