1 / 22

Prospects for Industrial Relations in the Broader Public Sector John O’Grady

Prospects for Industrial Relations in the Broader Public Sector John O’Grady. Four Questions:. What are the underlying changes in economic conditions and the fiscal situation of the Ontario government? Are they structural or cyclical?. Four Questions:.

ashton
Download Presentation

Prospects for Industrial Relations in the Broader Public Sector John O’Grady

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Prospects for Industrial Relations in the Broader Public Sector John O’Grady

  2. Four Questions: What are the underlying changes in economic conditions and the fiscal situation of the Ontario government? Are they structural or cyclical?

  3. Four Questions: What are the underlying changes in economic conditions and the fiscal situation of the Ontario government? Are they structural or cyclical? If those changes are structural, what are their likely implications for the employment environment in the Broader Public Sector?

  4. Four Questions: What are the underlying changes in economic conditions and the fiscal situation of the Ontario government? Are they structural or cyclical? If those changes are structural, what are their likely implications for the employment environment in the Broader Public Sector? Can the expected changes in the employment environment be addressed by the existing labour relations system?

  5. Four Questions: What are the underlying changes in economic conditions and the fiscal situation of the Ontario government? Are they structural or cyclical? If those changes are structural, what are their likely implications for the employment environment in the Broader Public Sector? Can those changes in the employment environment be addressed by the existing labour relations system? If changes in the labour relations system are needed, what are the options?

  6. Ontario Government: Fiscal Situation

  7. Ontario: Real GDP – Manufacturing, 1997-2011

  8. Ontario: Real GDP – Manufacturing,1997-2011

  9. Ontario: Real GDP –Manufacturing C$ Exchange Rate,1997-2011

  10. Average Annual Increases in Government Spending: 2010-11 to 2017-18

  11. Implications for the BPS Employment Environment Employment reductions.

  12. Implications for the BPS Employment Environment Employment reductions. Increased public sector employer opposition to restrictions on redeployment rights of public sector managers (seniority, posting).

  13. Implications for the BPS Employment Environment Employment reductions. Increased public sector employer opposition to restrictions on redeployment rights of public sector managers (seniority, posting). Increased public sector employer resistance to open-ended pensions and liabilities.

  14. Implications for the BPS Employment Environment Employment reductions. Increased public sector employer opposition to restrictions on redeployment rights of public sector managers (seniority, posting). Increased public sector employer resistance to open-ended pensions and liabilities. Increased public sector employer resistance to pattern-based wage determination.

  15. Implications for the BPS Employment Environment Employment reductions. Increased public sector employer opposition to restrictions on redeployment rights of public sector managers (seniority, posting). Increased public sector employer resistance to open-ended pensions and liabilities. Increased public sector employer resistance to pattern-based wage determination. Increased attraction to contracting out and divestment and increased opposition to restrictions that impede these.

  16. Eras of Restraint • 1975 – 1978: Wage and Price Controls • 1981 – 1982: Public Sector Wage Controls (‘6 and 5’) • 1993 – 1995: Social Contract • wage freeze / 12 ‘Rae Days’ • 1993-94: 2.3% cut • 1994-95: 0.8% increase • 1995 – 1999: Harris Cuts: • 1996-97: 3.3% cut • 1997-98: 0.3% increase

  17. Changes in the System More centralized bargaining.

  18. Changes in the System More centralized bargaining. Addressing the self-referential bias of public sector arbitration.

  19. Changes in the System More centralized bargaining. Addressing the self-referential bias of public sector arbitration. Limited liability for benefits and pensions.

  20. Changes in the System More centralized bargaining. Addressing the self-referential bias of public sector arbitration. Limited liability for benefits and pensions. Integration of pension bargaining with wage bargaining.

  21. Changes in the System More centralized bargaining. Addressing the self-referential bias of public sector arbitration. Limited liability for benefits and pensions. Integration of pension bargaining with wage bargaining. Greater flexibility on re-deployment (overriding seniority and posting) Fewer impediments to contracting out and divesting.

More Related