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Climate Change

Climate Change. GEOG 1112- Lecture 19. Past Climates. The Pleistocene Epoch 2.4 Mya – 10,000 ya Historically, 4 major glaciations: Nebraskan, Kansan, Illinoian, Wisconsinan Gumz, Mindel, Riss, Wurm. Past Climates. The Holocene Since 10,000 ya. Modern Methods of Analysis.

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Climate Change

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  1. Climate Change GEOG 1112- Lecture 19

  2. Past Climates • The Pleistocene Epoch • 2.4 Mya – 10,000 ya • Historically, 4 major glaciations: • Nebraskan, Kansan, Illinoian, Wisconsinan • Gumz, Mindel, Riss, Wurm

  3. Past Climates • The Holocene • Since 10,000 ya

  4. Modern Methods of Analysis • Varves: sedimentary couplets in Swedish lakes • A pairing of organic-rich summer sediments and organic-poor winter sediments found in exposed lake beds • Because each pair represents one year of time counting varves is useful as a dating technique for recent Earth history

  5. Modern Methods of Analysis • Foraminifera • Surface-dwelling marine animals who have died and sunk to the sea floor • Produces a history of water temperature fluctuations

  6. Modern Methods of Analysis • Oxygen-Isotope Analysis • A dating method used to reconstruct climate history • Based on the varying evaporation rates of different oxygen isotopes and the changing ratio between the isotopes revealed in foraminifera fossils • Compares ratio between 16-O and 18-O

  7. The Holocene • Since 10,000 ya • The Altithermal • An interval of time about 7,000 years ago when the climate was hotter than it is today

  8. Feedback in Climate Systems • Positive because changes can happen fast • Glaciers reflect sunlight -> less solar heating -> cooling -> more glaciers • Melting exposes more dark material -> lower albedo -> more solar heating -> more warming • Negative because changes stop eventually • Warming -> evaporation -> clouds -> less warming

  9. Recent Climate Changes

  10. Causes of Climate Change • Orbital Variations • Changes in Solar Output and Outer Space • Changes in Earth’s Activity

  11. Orbital Variations • Eccentricity Cycle • 100,000 yr. variation in Earth’s orbit around Sun • Most important for last 900,000 yr • Obliquity Cycle • 41,000 yr. variation in Earth’s tilt (22.1 – 24.5 deg) • Most important from 2.4 Mya – 900,000 ya • Precession Cycle • 23,000 yr. variation in aphelion & perhelion • Milutin Milankovitch- 1924 • Predicts full glacial conditions (glacial ice as far south as the Ohio and Missouri Rivers) in about 23,000 years

  12. Orbital Variations

  13. Changes in Solar Output and Outer Space • 11-year sunspot cycle • Dusty spots in the solar system

  14. Changes in Earth's Activity • Volcanic Activity • Tambora 1815 -> 1816 • ‘Year w/o a summer’ • Krakatoa 1883 • Pinatubo 1991

  15. Changes in Earth's Activity • Atmospheric Gases • Carbon Dioxide and the Greenhouse Effect • Methane and the Greenhouse Effect

  16. Changes in Earth's Activity • Changes in the Ocean • Salinity differences- high evaporation creates salty seas and leads to subsidence • Heinrich Events- salinity at surface is reduced by melting glaciers and deep-water circulation and turnover slow, and N. Hemisphere warms

  17. Changes in Earth's Activity • Changes in Landmasses • Breakup of Pangaea • Connection of Mediterranean to Ocean • Creation of Panama isthmus • Himalaya range restricts flow

  18. Human Impacts

  19. Just the facts… Climate Change

  20. Where is Warming Headed?

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