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Silver Spring, MD June 6, 2006 Timothy Schott. 2006 Partners Workshop. Outline. New Operational Products. Experimental Products. Future Work. Probabilistic Winds – Operational. Graphical Text Experimental in the NDFD. Probabilistic Storm Surge – Experimental.

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Silver spring md june 6 2006 timothy schott

Silver Spring, MD

June 6, 2006

Timothy Schott

2006 Partners Workshop


Outline
Outline

  • New Operational Products

  • Experimental Products

  • Future Work


Probabilistic winds operational
Probabilistic Winds – Operational

  • Graphical

  • Text

  • Experimental in the NDFD


Probabilistic storm surge experimental
Probabilistic Storm Surge – Experimental

Pre Katrina

  • www.weather.gov/mdl/psurge/

  • Two choices:

    • Overall chance storm surges will be greater than 5 feet above normal tide levels during the next 2 days

Mainland

Mississippi

Post Katrina

  • Storm surge heights, in feet above normal tide level, which have a 10 percent chance of being exceeded during the next 3 days


Tropical cyclone vtec experimental
Tropical Cyclone VTEC – Experimental

  • www.nhc.noaa.gov/feedback-tcv.shtml

  • New format for 2006

  • Proposed operational for 2007

ALPHA WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS/ADVISORY NUMBER 3

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006

1000 AM EST TUE MAR 14 2006

.HURRICANE ALPHA

FLC017-029-037-053-057-065-075-101-103-123-129-142100-

/E.NEW.KNHC.HU.W.1001.060314T1500Z-000000T0000Z/

1000 AM EST TUE MAR 14 2006

INDIAN-PASS-FL 29.68N 85.27W

TARPON-SPRINGS-FL 28.15N 82.79W

$$

GMZ750-755-770-775-830-850-853-870-873-142100-

/E.NEW.KNHC.HU.W.1001.060314T1500Z-000000T0000Z/

1000 AM EST TUE MAR 14 2006

INDIAN-PASS-FL 29.68N 85.27W

TARPON-SPRINGS-FL 28.15N 82.79W


Tropical cyclone graphical hazards experimental
Tropical Cyclone Graphical Hazards – Experimental

  • www.weather.gov/os/tropical/hazards.htm

  • Participating WFOs providing Impacts or Threat Graphics

  • 2006 is first of a two year experimental effort


Extreme wind warning
Extreme Wind Warning

  • http://www.weather.gov/os/hurricane/eww.htm

  • Purpose

  • New for 2006

  • Extreme Wind Warning Product for 2007

  • Beyond 2007


Wfo tropical cyclone products improvement team
WFO Tropical Cyclone Products Improvement Team

  • Desire for clear, concise and meaningful WFO tropical cyclone products

  • Feedback needed

  • Contact: [email protected]


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