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A policy directed framework for moving from ‘unintended consequences’ to intended co-benefits and explicit trade-offs. Alex Macmillan. Senior Research Associate Complex Built Environment Systems Group (CBES) Bartlett School of Graduate studies . Current framing of policy.

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A policy directed framework for moving from ‘unintended consequences’ to intended co-benefits and explicit trade-offs

  • Alex Macmillan

  • Senior ResearchAssociate

  • Complex Built Environment Systems Group (CBES)

  • Bartlett School of Graduate studies


Current framing of policy
Current framing of policy consequences’ to intended co-benefits and explicit trade-offs

Single focus policies “unintended” effects

  • Across sectors

  • At different time and geographical scales

  • Policy formulation and implementation

    Need for different approaches


Ecosystem consequences’ to intended co-benefits and explicit trade-offs

sustainability

Societal

wellbeing

Functioning economy


Intervening in the housing system
Intervening in the housing system consequences’ to intended co-benefits and explicit trade-offs

Methods

  • Participatory System Dynamics (SD) Modelling

  • Multi-criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA)


Participatory sdm process
Participatory SDM process consequences’ to intended co-benefits and explicit trade-offs

  • Recruitment of stakeholders

  • Interviews

  • Development of concept model

  • Development of simulation model

  • Simulations

  • Policy and research insights


Example interviews
Example: Interviews consequences’ to intended co-benefits and explicit trade-offs


Example causal diagrams
Example: causal diagrams consequences’ to intended co-benefits and explicit trade-offs


Example scenario simulation
Example: scenario simulation consequences’ to intended co-benefits and explicit trade-offs


Contact
Contact consequences’ to intended co-benefits and explicit trade-offs

Alex MacmillanComplex Built Environment Systems GroupUniversity College Londona.macmillan@ucl.ac.uk


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