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Tanzania PHDR 2009: Key Findings and policy implications

DPG Main Meeting 3 November 2009 POVERTY MONITORING GROUP. Tanzania PHDR 2009: Key Findings and policy implications . PHDR: a snap shot. Slow Progress in poverty reduction . off-track in achieving poverty reduction targets. Little change in consumption levels.

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Tanzania PHDR 2009: Key Findings and policy implications

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  1. DPG Main Meeting 3November 2009 POVERTY MONITORING GROUP Tanzania PHDR 2009: Key Findings and policy implications

  2. PHDR: a snap shot

  3. Slow Progress in poverty reduction

  4. off-track in achieving poverty reduction targets

  5. Little change in consumption levels • Little change in consumption levels since 2001 • Extremely low consumption levels • 98% of Tanzanians consume less than Tsh 30,000 (2001 prices) and Tsh 58,000 in 2007 prices • 80% consume less than Tsh 20,000 (38,600 in 2007 prices)

  6. Per capita consumption by wealth

  7. A physically weak population? • Caloric intake increased marginally since 2001 • 25% of the population do not consume enough to carryout even light work • 50% do not consume enough to carryout heavy work

  8. Wide spread malnutrition

  9. A drop in rural children with Anaemia

  10. Not a famine prone country. Food production can meet the demand (SSR=104%) But several regions are food insecure: Arusha, Kilimanjaro, Lindi, Manyara, Mara, Mtwara, Shinyanga, Singida and Tabora (Rapid vulnerability survey (2008) In total 20 districts have been identified as having food shortages in 2007/08, the lowest number since 2002/03 Food self-sufficiency

  11. WHY POVERTY IS NOT DECLINING FAST?

  12. Diversifying out of agriculture

  13. Quality of education and lack of skilled workers are becoming constraints • High pupil/teacher ratios (54:1) • Negative perception (school is useless/uninteresting, Dar 24%) • Falling cohort completion rate (78% in 2006 to 62.5% in 2008) • One in five pupils not attending school at any given time • Falling transition rate from Standard VII to Form 1 (67.5 % in 2006 to 51.6% in 2008) • Only a quarter of candidates pass basic mathematics at the Form 4 exam • Drop (26%) in the number of grads in technical and vocational education and training (BEST 2009) Can current education support this move?

  14. Policy directions

  15. Policy directions cont:

  16. Thank you

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