Hurricane evacuation decision support systems and related research development recommendations
Download
1 / 21

Hurricane Evacuation Decision Support Systems and Related Research & Development Recommendations - PowerPoint PPT Presentation


  • 94 Views
  • Uploaded on

Hurricane Evacuation Decision Support Systems and Related Research & Development Recommendations. Hurricane Evacuation Decision Support Systems and Related Research & Development Recommendations. Presented by Richard Wagoner National Center for Atmospheric Research

loader
I am the owner, or an agent authorized to act on behalf of the owner, of the copyrighted work described.
capcha
Download Presentation

PowerPoint Slideshow about ' Hurricane Evacuation Decision Support Systems and Related Research & Development Recommendations' - amato


An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation

Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author.While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server.


- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - E N D - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Presentation Transcript
Hurricane evacuation decision support systems and related research development recommendations

Hurricane Evacuation Decision Support Systems and Related Research & Development Recommendations

Hurricane Evacuation Decision Support Systems and Related Research & Development Recommendations

Presented by

Richard Wagoner

National Center for Atmospheric Research

National Hurricane Conference

Washington, DC

9 April, 2001


Winter road maintenance decision support system mdss prototype development

Winter Road Maintenance Decision Support System (MDSS) Prototype Development

Presented by

Bill Mahoney

National Center for Atmospheric Research


Mdss objective
MDSS Objective Prototype Development

To utilize state-of-the-art atmospheric science

and engineering approaches to address and

improve the

performance

of the road

maintenance

practitioner.


Mdss goals
MDSS Goals Prototype Development

  • Capitalize on existing road weather data sources.

  • Augment data sources where they are weak.

  • Fuse data to make an integrated and

  • understandable presentation

  • of road conditions.

  • Provide diagnostic and prognostic information.


Mdss goals continued
MDSS Goals (continued) Prototype Development

  • Provide display capability for the condition

  • of the roadway.

  • Develop a decision support tool that provides

  • recommendations on road maintenance

  • courses of action together with anticipated

  • consequences of action or inaction.

  • Provide all the above on a single platform.


Mdss prototype components
MDSS Prototype Components Prototype Development

Display

Weather

Data

Advanced

Weather

Capabilities

DOT Operations Data

Road

Condition

Module

Decision

Support

Logic

External System

Interface


MDSS Prototype Focus Areas Prototype Development

  • Weather Component Focus :

  • Event start and stop times

  • Surface temperature

  • Precipitation type

  • Precipitation rate

  • Precipitation accumulation

  • Conditional probabilities

  • Surface wind speed

  • Surface wind direction

  • Surface visibility


Mdss prototype focus areas
MDSS Prototype Focus Areas Prototype Development

  • Road Component Focus:

  • Pavement temperature and trends

  • Pavement chemical concentration

  • Pavement friction coefficient

  • Pavement contamination

  • (liquid, snow, ice, etc.)

  • Snow drifting


Mdss prototype focus areas1
MDSS Prototype Focus Areas Prototype Development

  • Decision Support System Component Focus:

  • Monitor weather & road conditions

  • Monitor probability & intensity of weather threat

  • Crew scheduling

  • Manage crew shifts

  • Dispatch crews to treat roadway

  • Coordinate emergency management

  • Manage incidents

  • Monitor crew working time

  • Post event clean up


Proposed engineering approach for mdss
Proposed Engineering Approach for MDSS Prototype Development

Point & Time

Specific

Output

“NOAA”

Weather Data

Weather

Parameter

Output

DICAST

Forecast Module A

Forecast

Integrator

Data

Ingest

Forecast Module B

Forecast Module C

Post

Processor

Forecast Module D

.

.

.

Forecast

Product

DOT Wx Data

Forecast Module N

DOT

Operations

Data

Decision Support

System Module

Road Condition

Module

GIS Display


Conceptual system diagram for mdss
Conceptual System Diagram for MDSS Prototype Development

Point & Time

Specific

Output

Weather Data

DICAST

Forecast Module A

Forecast

Integrator

Data

Ingest

Forecast Module B

Forecast Module C

Post

Processor

Forecast Module D

.

.

.

Forecast

Product

Forecast Module N

GIS Display

Chemical Concentration


Environmental prediction sites
Environmental Prediction Sites Prototype Development

Environmental prediction parameters will be generated along the road.

These data will be used by the road condition algorithms.


Translation of environmental data to road condition information

Environmental Data Grids Prototype Development

Road condition

algorithms

convert environmental

data at road points

Road condition information provided

at user configurable locations along the road.

Translation of Environmental Data to Road Condition Information


Special features of the mdss
Special Features of the MDSS Prototype Development

  • Takes advantage of standard & road weather sensor data via intelligent data integration.

  • Utilizes an automated, high resolution forecast system with advanced data fusion techniques.

  • Provides probability (confidence) information for environmental parameters.


Special features of the mdss1
Special Features of the MDSS Prototype Development

  • Has the capability of utilizing several road condition algorithms to provide a “best” solution.

  • Merges environmental & operational data within the DSS.

  • Provides decision guidance in decision space and provides recommended courses of action and allows users to evaluate other courses of action.


Mdss technology applications

MDSS Core Prototype Development

Technology

MDSS Technology Applications

Warning Preparation

Winter Maintenance

Paving Operations

Emergency Management

Pavement Marking

Traffic Management

Public Notification

Hurricane Evacuation

Sweeping Operations

Weed Spraying

Controlled Burns


Proposed architecture of hurricane evacuation dss
Proposed Architecture of Hurricane Evacuation DSS Prototype Development

Hurricane Evacuation Subsystem

  • Focused on 24 – 48 hr period prior to gale force winds on the coast

  • Updated every six hours in phase with NHC advisories

  • Uses weather, incident, maintenance and traffic modeling data to show decision makers estimated evacuation rates andproblem areas

  • Between update times, “what if” scenarios can be run to estimate impact of track and intensity changes


Proposed architecture of hurricane evacuation dss1
Proposed Architecture of Hurricane Evacuation DSS Prototype Development

Tactical Support for Emergency Response Subsystem

  • Focused on weather and road conditions as gale force winds, heavy rain, lightning and tornadoes move inland

  • Continuous monitor mode with updates every 5 – 15 minutes

  • Maximum wind, accumulated rainfall, rainfall rate, and lightning rate displayed for key locations designated by emergency managers


Proposed architecture of hurricane evacuation dss2
Proposed Architecture of Hurricane Evacuation DSS Prototype Development

Tactical Support for Emergency Response Subsystem

  • System will be used for timing post-storm responses to ensure safety of crews

  • Storm location and past track displayed

  • Future storm locations with estimatedwind and rainfall forecasts displayed for every 3 hrs out to 12 hours

  • Road condition information constantly updated


Recommended research development areas
Recommended Research & Development Areas Prototype Development

  • Application of new data fusion techniques to TPC operations to improve 1 – 5 day track and intensity forecasts

  • Optimal methods for utilizing weather informationin traffic models

  • Validation of DSS’s in operational settings


The End Prototype Development

[email protected]

303-497-8404


ad