Sea shore flow optimizing enlisted career paths l.jpg
This presentation is the property of its rightful owner.
Sponsored Links
1 / 18

Sea Shore Flow Optimizing Enlisted Career Paths PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Sea Shore Flow Optimizing Enlisted Career Paths NCA Symposium Information Brief CDR Craig Schauppner, USN Current Manpower Allocation Branch/ Operations Analysis Section (N122X) July 2008 Geographic Stability FIT Satisfying Real Work Pers & Prof Development Predictability

Related searches for Sea Shore Flow Optimizing Enlisted Career Paths

Download Presentation

Sea Shore Flow Optimizing Enlisted Career Paths

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation

Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author.While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server.


- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - E N D - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Presentation Transcript


Sea shore flow optimizing enlisted career paths l.jpg

Sea Shore FlowOptimizing Enlisted Career Paths

NCA Symposium Information Brief

CDR Craig Schauppner, USN

Current Manpower Allocation Branch/

Operations Analysis Section (N122X)

July 2008


Sea shore flow desired outcomes under a new lens l.jpg

Geographic

Stability

FIT

Satisfying

Real Work

Pers & Prof

Development

Predictability

Sea Shore FlowDesired Outcomes under a New Lens

Away from sea-to-shore billet ratios…

Impact to the Sailor

  • Predictable career path

  • Increased meaningful work

  • Improved geographic stability

  • Incentives for more time at sea (> 60 months)

    Impact to the Navy

  • Manning at right experience level

  • Right mix of work within fleet concentration areas

  • Force structure determines manpower requirements

… to managing the whole community

Sea Tour lengths determined by Fleet requirements and community behavior

30 year Career

SSF Provides Best Balance of Sea and Shore Duty Throughout a Sailor’s Career


Evolution of sea shore flow none close enough optimal l.jpg

Evolution of Sea Shore FlowNone … Close Enough … Optimal

Seavey Shorevey

Sea Shore Rotation

Sea Shore Flow

FLETCHER CLASS (DD-445)

900 Ship Navy – 775K Personnel

Policy: 1957 – 1974

Sailors remained at sea indefinitely

and rolled ashore based on time in grade and shore billet availability

Catalyst: Centralized Distribution

-Previous decentralized system caused large scale “bottle necks” in moving inventory across the Navy

- First computer based “fair share” personnel assignment system - Sea Survey and Shore Survey rotation program

ARLEIGH BURKE CLASS (DDG-51)

600 Ship Navy – 600K Personnel

Policy: 1974 – 2008

Sailors’ sea tour length determined

by a ratio of sea billets to shore billets

for each particular rating and paygrade

Catalyst: All Volunteer Force

- Fixed PRD required to calculate

inventory projections

- Predictable sea tour lengths needed

to recruit and retain volunteer Sailors

- Sea-shore billet ratio provided a close

enough approximation for tour lengths

ZUMWALT CLASS (DDG-1000)

313 Ship Navy – 322K Personnel

Policy: 2008 – 20XX

Sailors’ sea tour length determined

by an optimal career path for each

enlisted community

Catalyst: Sea-Centric Force

- Reduced shore billet structure

driven by fiscal constraints

- SSR billet ratio metric lacks

fidelity needed to manage a

sea-centric force

- SSF provides optimal sea tour

lengths


Sea shore flow optimizing enlisted career paths4 l.jpg

t

n end

t

n start

t

t

n start

n end

IST

n

Sea Shore FlowOptimizing Enlisted Career Paths

30 year LOS Profile

f (E, C, G, T)

Billets Aligned

to Sea Tours

f (E, C, G, T) dt

=

Billets Aligned to Sea Tours

E - EPA

C - Continuation Rate

G - Gain Distribution

T - Time

n - Sea Tour Index

{Sea Tour 1, Sea Tour 2, …}

- Sea Tour ‘n’ start month

- Sea Tour ‘n’ end month

- User Defined Ideal

Sea Tour Length

Objective Function 1: Minimize Total Time at Sea

Objective Function 2: Minimize Deviation from User

Defined Ideal Sea Tour Lengths

Constraint:

Billets Aligned to Sea Tours = Sea EPA


Sea shore flow leaky bucket analogy l.jpg

Sea Shore FlowLeaky Bucket Analogy

Tour 4

Global Requirements

Tour 3

Tour 2

Tour 1

Sea Shore Flow Model

Projects flow from sea to shore, using

- EPA Length of Service Spread

- Continuation Rates

- Gain Distributions

Flow projection used to set tour lengths to sustain 100% manning.

Accessions

Continuation Rate

Flow Rate

 EPA

Sea Tour 1

Shore

Tour 1

Sea

Tour 2

Attrition Rate

Improve SSF by Improving Retention or Increasing Accessions

4


Sea shore flow what we have learned l.jpg

Sea Shore FlowWhat We Have Learned

  • Sea Shore Rotation (SSR), the ratio of sea billets to shore billets by paygrade, is not an accurate metric for determining sea tour lengths in a sea-centric Navy

  • Sea Shore Flow (SSF), the optimal career path for an enlisted community, determines sea tour lengths based on a rating’s entire billet structure (EPA), gain distribution, and continuation/advancement rates

  • The Navy is not as sea-intensive as indicated by SSR

    • Can improve FIT by shortening some sea tour lengths


Sea shore flow obtaining desired fit l.jpg

Shorter First Sea Tour:

- Sea billets manned by Sailors with

appropriate experience level

- Distributes the sea billets and tour lengths

more uniformly over 30 years

- Meets Fill and FIT

Long First Sea Tour:

- Large portion of the sea billets are filled by

Sailors on their first Sea Tour

- Subsequent sea tours can be shorter than

currently prescribed by SSR policy

- Meets Fill not FIT

Sea Shore FlowObtaining Desired FIT

GM Sea Shore Rotation Solution

GM Sea Shore Flow Solution

Optimal Sea Shore Flow Driven by Fleet Requirements


Sea shore flow what we have done l.jpg

Sea Shore FlowWhat We Have Done

  • Received Enlisted Community Managers’ Inputs

  • Identified Sea-Intensive Ratings

  • Validated SDIP Candidate Ratings

  • Validated FC(AEGIS) Action Group Billet Strategy

  • Determined Current Feasibility for Geographic Stability

  • Identified/Quantified Shore Billet Shortages/Excesses

  • Developed POM-10 Sea Shore Flow Guidance

  • Developed POM-10 Geographic Stability Guidance

  • Developed POM-10 Community Health Matrix

  • Revised Sea Shore Flow Enlisted Career Paths Based on Detailers and Enlisted Community Managers’ Feedback

  • Drafted Sea Shore Flow Enlisted Career Path NAVADMIN


Shore intensive vs sea intensive l.jpg

Shore Intensive vs. Sea Intensive

Shore Intensive

Sea Centric

Sea Intensive

Excess

Shore Billets

Military Essential?

Excess

Shore Billets

Shore Billets

Shortfalls

Shore Billets

Shortfall

Requires 4,240 Shore Billets aligned to Sea Intensive Ratings

Shore Intensive

86,000 Sailors

Sea Centric

118,000 Sailors

Sea Intensive

68,000 Sailors

Total EPA


Slide10 l.jpg

Evolution of Sea Shore Flow

Sea Tour Length ComparisonSea Shore Flow vs Sea Shore Rotation

SSF vs. SSR based on Rating Count :

Impact to the Sailor

- Predictable career path

- Increased meaningful work

- Improved geographic stability

- Incentives for more time at sea (> 60 mos)

Impact to the Navy

- Manning at right experience level

- Right mix of work within fleet concentration areas

- Force structure determines manpower requirements

SSF vs. SSR based on Billet Count :

Most Sailors will see No Change or a Decrease in

Sea Tour Lengths


Slide11 l.jpg

Sea Shore Flow Sea Tour Lengths


Slide12 l.jpg

Sea Shore Flow Sea Tour Lengths


Sea shore flow communication plan l.jpg

Sea Shore Flow Communication Plan

July

21-23 July

July - Aug

Nov/Dec

Announcement

Drumbeat

NPC confirms

logistics ready

Announcement Strategy

  • NC symposium

    (21-23 July)

P4

NAVADMIN

Confirmation of Fleet concurrence

NC email

AnchorLines

NC email

Focus on effecting one-on-one communication between COC and Sailors


Sea shore flow poa m l.jpg

Sea Shore Flow POA&M


Back up slides l.jpg

Back Up Slides


Ssf plan gunner s mate l.jpg

SSF PlanGunner’s Mate

Decreasing

Sea Tour Lengths

Improves

FIT and QOL


Ssf plan fire controlman l.jpg

SSF PlanFire Controlman

Sea Tour Lengths

Determined by

Career Path not

Paygrade

Sailors in sea-intensive communities can benefit from SDIP


Sea shore flow cg division uss hopper l.jpg

Billets from SMD

Current on Board

BSC Rate PNEC Sea Tour

001950 GMC 0879 Third

001960 GM1 0879 Second

001970 GM2 0879 Second

001980 GM2 0879 First

001990 GM3 First

002000 GMSN First

002010 FCC 1120 Third

002020 FC1 1121 Second

002030 FC2 1121 Second

002040 FC2 1120 First

002050 FC3 1121 First

002060 FC3 1121 First

002070 FC3 1121 First

002080 FC3 1120 First

002090 FC3 1120 First

Rate PNEC LOS Sea Tour

GMC 0879 11 Second

GM2 9 Second

GM2 0879 5 First

GM3 0879 2 First

GM3 4 First

GM3 3 First

GMSA 0879 1 First

FCC 1120 13 Second

FCC 1120 11 Second

FC1 1121 13 Second

FC2 1121 2 First

FC1 1120 18 Third

FC2 1121 6 First

Gapped

FC3 1121 2 First

FC3 1120 2 First

Gapped

Sea Shore FlowCG Division – USS Hopper

Gunner’s Mate First Sea Tour decreases from 60 to 42 months

- Trades off Fill for FIT while improving Sailors’ QOL

Second Sea Tour length no longer determined by Sailor’s paygrade

- Gives Sailors predictable career paths improving life work balance

Fire Controlman can choose to extend at sea for extra pay (SDIP)

- Rewards Sailors for self selecting additional time at sea

Sea Shore Flow Provides Sailors More Predictability and More Options

Sea Shore Flow Provides the Navy with Better FIT


  • Login