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Crisis & Risk International Services and Solutions (C.R.I.S.S.) Pedro Tichauer, Hyo-Jin Paik, Younghun Oh, Sinan Chu December 8 th 2009. Solution “6-2-6” U.S. Strategy towards DPRK’s Nuclear Program. A Policy Recommendation to the State Department Office of East Asian and Pacific Affairs.

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Crisis & Risk International Services and Solutions (C.R.I.S.S.)

Pedro Tichauer, Hyo-Jin Paik, Younghun Oh, Sinan Chu

December 8th 2009

Solution “6-2-6”U.S. Strategy towards DPRK’s Nuclear Program

A Policy Recommendation to the State Department

Office of East Asian and Pacific Affairs


About us c r i s s maxwell school
About Us: (C.R.I.S.S.)C.R.I.S.S., Maxwell School

Crisis &

Risk

International

Services and

Solutions



Content background policy outcome and conclusion
Content: Program:Background, Policy Outcome and Conclusion

  • Background

    • Nuclear Crisis and

      the Six-Party Talk

    • North Korea’s “Plan B”

  • Outcome Analysis of Solution “6-2-6”

    • Economic Impact

    • Political and Diplomatic Consequence

    • Social Issues

  • Conclusion

A satellite image of the North Korea nuclear facility


Background information nuclear crisis and the six party talk
Background Information: Program:Nuclear Crisis and the Six-Party Talk

  • DPRK and Its Nuclear Program

    • Political regime and foreign relations

    • Nuclear Program

    • Plan A and Plan B

  • Multilateralism

    • The “Six-Party” Talk

    • Five rounds from 2003 to 2007

  • Latest Development

    • DPRK’s withdrawal from SPT in April 2009

    • Current events


Background information continued dprk s development of nuclear program
Background Information (continued): Program:DPRK’s Development of Nuclear Program


Background information continued the six party multilateral negotiation
Background Information (continued): Program:The “Six-Party” Multilateral Negotiation

North Korea (DPRK)

Russia

South Korea (ROK)

U.S.A.

China

Japan


Outcome analysis i economic impact
Outcome Analysis I: Program:Economic Impact


Outcome analysis i economic impact1
Outcome Analysis I: Program:Economic Impact


Outcome analysis i economic impact2
Outcome Analysis I: Program:Economic Impact


Outcome analysis i economic impact3
Outcome Analysis I: Program:Economic Impact


Outcome analysis i economic impact4
Outcome Analysis I: Program:Economic Impact

North Korea’s Military Expense


Outcome analysis ii political and diplomatic consequence
Outcome Analysis II: Program:Political and Diplomatic Consequence

  • US’s Position:

    • NO Bilateral Talks

  • US alone cannot resolve the North Korean nuclear crisis

  • SPT: A better option than UN (General Assembly or Security Council)

  • New Administration:

    • Fresh Impetus


Outcome analysis ii political and diplomatic impact
Outcome Analysis II: Program:Political and Diplomatic Impact


Outcome analysis ii political and diplomatic impact1
Outcome Analysis II: Program:Political and Diplomatic Impact


Outcome analysis ii political and diplomatic impact2
Outcome Analysis II: Program:Political and Diplomatic Impact

Major Stakeholders in the “Six-Party” Talk


Outcome analysis ii political and diplomatic impact3
Outcome Analysis II: Program:Political and Diplomatic Impact

  • China

    • Political and Economic Ties with DPRK – less security concern

    • Refugee Concern

    • Imagine Building

  • South Korea and Japan

    • Security Concern

    • Refugee Concern

    • Diplomatic Normalization

  • Russia

    • Limited Political Power

    • Balance China and Japan

North Korea


Outcome analysis iii social issues
Outcome Analysis III: Program:Social Issues

  • Refugees

  • Humanitarian Aid

  • Social differences

  • Human rights


U s strategy towards dprk s nuclear program solution 6 2 6
U.S. Strategy towards DPRK’s Nuclear Program: Program:Solution “6–2–6”


Crisis & Risk International Services and Solutions (C.R.I.S.S.)

Pedro Tichauer, Hyo-Jin Paik, Younghun Oh, Sinan Chu

Questions? December 7th 2009Maxwell School, Syracuse University


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