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New reference material online
New reference material online

  • 20040203-Technology.pdfBattelle - Technology Forecasts.htmBattelle - Technology Forecasts_filesNASAsolutions NASA, Marshall Space Flight Center Technology Transfer Program.htmNASAsolutions NASA, Marshall Space Flight Center Technology Transfer Program_filesNIST Advanced Technology Program.htmNIST Advanced Technology Program_filesUSAforesight.pdf

  • A Guidebook for Technology Assessment and Impact Analysis: coursepak at Alpha Graphics. $3.64


Technology assessment
Technology Assessment

  • The best way to have a good idea is to have lots of ideas

  • Linus Pauling, Nobel Laureate


Assessment defined
Assessment defined

  • A formal, objective evaluation of the commercial potential of a piece of intellectual property.


Why perform assessments
Why perform assessments

  • Understand the competitive advantage your technology offers

  • Determine if the advantage is protectable and sustainable

  • Identify market applications and prospective licensees

  • Identify barriers to market entry


Technology description
Technology Description

  • Current state of the art

    • Operational capacity, gaps, deficiencies

    • Antecedent technologies

  • Influencing factors

  • Related technologies

  • Future state of the art

  • Uses and applications


Technology description1
Technology Description

  • Physical and functional description

    • Measure functional capabilities

    • Scientific disciplines involved

    • Importance of stakeholders

    • Capital investment

    • Input and output products

    • Design dimension data

    • Manufacturing characteristics


Impact of technology
Impact of Technology

  • Widely adopted

  • Social consequences

  • Future conditions require creation of new technological capabilities


Levels of emergence and impact of technology
Levels of emergence and impact of technology

  • Emergence

    • Knowledge of scientific understanding acquired

    • Technical capability demonstrated in lab

    • Full scale prototype

    • Operational use or commercial introduction


Four assessment dimensions
Four assessment dimensions

  • Technology v. problem

    • New technology v. problem solutions

  • Physical v. social

    • Technical and economic feasibility v. political and social feasibility

  • Existing v. emerging

    • Understood v. uncertainty

  • Major v. minor

    • Major or minor changes in social or institutional arrangements


Techniques of technology forecasting
Techniques of technology forecasting

  • single trend extrapolation

  • Substitution analysis

  • Scenario development

  • The delphi method

  • Cross impact analysis

  • Morphological evaluation

  • Limitations of forecasting accuracy


  • Ip valuation
    IP Valuation

    • Determine commercial value of IP

    • Addressable market size

    • Strength of need

    • Strength of technical advantage


    Venture creation
    Venture creation

    • Business model

      • Market analysis

      • Strategic analysis

      • Operational analysis

      • Strategy development

      • Financial planning


    Business school model
    Business school model

    • Recruit technology

    • Assess technology

    • Analyze market

    • Develop business plan

    • Recruit management

    • Seed funding

    • launch


    Technology opportunities
    Technology opportunities

    • http://www.nttc.edu/techmart/search.asp

    • Biotechnology:

    • http://www.nttc.edu/techmart/category.asp

    • Communications

    • http://www.nttc.edu/techmart/category.asp

    • Aerodynamics

    • http://www.nttc.edu/techmart/category.asp


    • Ctc: http://www.ctc.org

    • Brookhaven

    • http://www.bnl.gov/techxfer/tech_briefs/new_licensing_opportunities.html

    /


    Strategic visioning
    Strategic Visioning

    • Environmental scanning of emerging issues

      • Description; source; comments

    • Bisociation of emerging issues

    • Challenges and Opportunities

    • New ideas

    • Scenario development

    • Impact analysis


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