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new reference material online
New reference material online
  • 20040203-Technology.pdfBattelle - Technology Forecasts.htmBattelle - Technology Forecasts_filesNASAsolutions NASA, Marshall Space Flight Center Technology Transfer Program.htmNASAsolutions NASA, Marshall Space Flight Center Technology Transfer Program_filesNIST Advanced Technology Program.htmNIST Advanced Technology Program_filesUSAforesight.pdf
  • A Guidebook for Technology Assessment and Impact Analysis: coursepak at Alpha Graphics. $3.64
technology assessment
Technology Assessment
  • The best way to have a good idea is to have lots of ideas
  • Linus Pauling, Nobel Laureate
assessment defined
Assessment defined
  • A formal, objective evaluation of the commercial potential of a piece of intellectual property.
why perform assessments
Why perform assessments
  • Understand the competitive advantage your technology offers
  • Determine if the advantage is protectable and sustainable
  • Identify market applications and prospective licensees
  • Identify barriers to market entry
technology description
Technology Description
  • Current state of the art
    • Operational capacity, gaps, deficiencies
    • Antecedent technologies
  • Influencing factors
  • Related technologies
  • Future state of the art
  • Uses and applications
technology description1
Technology Description
  • Physical and functional description
    • Measure functional capabilities
    • Scientific disciplines involved
    • Importance of stakeholders
    • Capital investment
    • Input and output products
    • Design dimension data
    • Manufacturing characteristics
impact of technology
Impact of Technology
  • Widely adopted
  • Social consequences
  • Future conditions require creation of new technological capabilities
levels of emergence and impact of technology
Levels of emergence and impact of technology
  • Emergence
    • Knowledge of scientific understanding acquired
    • Technical capability demonstrated in lab
    • Full scale prototype
    • Operational use or commercial introduction
four assessment dimensions
Four assessment dimensions
  • Technology v. problem
    • New technology v. problem solutions
  • Physical v. social
    • Technical and economic feasibility v. political and social feasibility
  • Existing v. emerging
    • Understood v. uncertainty
  • Major v. minor
    • Major or minor changes in social or institutional arrangements
techniques of technology forecasting
Techniques of technology forecasting
    • single trend extrapolation
    • Substitution analysis
    • Scenario development
    • The delphi method
    • Cross impact analysis
    • Morphological evaluation
  • Limitations of forecasting accuracy
ip valuation
IP Valuation
  • Determine commercial value of IP
  • Addressable market size
  • Strength of need
  • Strength of technical advantage
venture creation
Venture creation
  • Business model
    • Market analysis
    • Strategic analysis
    • Operational analysis
    • Strategy development
    • Financial planning
business school model
Business school model
  • Recruit technology
  • Assess technology
  • Analyze market
  • Develop business plan
  • Recruit management
  • Seed funding
  • launch
technology opportunities
Technology opportunities
  • http://www.nttc.edu/techmart/search.asp
  • Biotechnology:
  • http://www.nttc.edu/techmart/category.asp
  • Communications
  • http://www.nttc.edu/techmart/category.asp
  • Aerodynamics
  • http://www.nttc.edu/techmart/category.asp
slide15
Ctc: http://www.ctc.org
  • Brookhaven
  • http://www.bnl.gov/techxfer/tech_briefs/new_licensing_opportunities.html

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strategic visioning
Strategic Visioning
  • Environmental scanning of emerging issues
    • Description; source; comments
  • Bisociation of emerging issues
  • Challenges and Opportunities
  • New ideas
  • Scenario development
  • Impact analysis
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