Dual Income Home Loans Hit By Mortgage Stress
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Dual Income Home Loans Hit By Mortgage Stress

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Dual income home loans hit by mortgage stress

Dual Income Home Loans Hit By Mortgage Stress

Many owner occupied homes, obtained through home loans, are currently held by dual income

families. However, over a third of these are under mortgage stress. This means that, if one of the

income earners would stop working, they would struggle to repay their mortgage. This was observed

in a new Australian survey.

Loss of Income in One Makes It Difficult to Pay Mortgage

Owner occupied dual income home loans are very popular, with more than two thirds being of such

construction. This means that, if there were to be a change in employment conditions or in economic

growth, many people would suddenly be under threat. While the economy is recovering at present, it

usually moves in waves, which means a short, smaller recession is likely to be felt soon.

The mortgage belt in Australia has long been a tale of two cities, mainly Sydney and Melbourne. Over

the past three years, property prices in these areas have risen tremendously. This makes it more and

more difficult for first time buyers to get on the property ladder. It also makes it increasingly difficult for

people with a single income to pay for the mortgage.

Roy Morgan Survey on Mortgage Stress

Roy Morgan has been conducting an ongoing survey, known as the "Spotlight on Finance Risk". So

far, they have spoken to some 500,000 people over the past ten years. The survey has shown that

67.2% of all owner occupied home loans are now for households with a dual income.

The survey has also shown that there are currently some 3.2 million mortgage holders at present for

owner occupied buildings. Of these, 9.3% are listed as being "at risk" of experiencing mortgage stress.

This means that their ability to make the necessary repayments is under threat, particularly under

interest rate conditions that are getting tighter. If, in these cases, the non-main income earner would

be removed from the equation, then this proportion rapidly shoots up to as much as 34.8%.

Definition of Mortgage Stress

By definition, people are classed as being "under mortgage stress" if more than 30% of their

disposable household income goes to the mortgage repayments. According to Roy Morgan, an

increasing number of households rely on having more than one income. What this means is that, if

one income were to be lost, the financial blow would be greater than if the interest rates were to

double.

Dual income mortgages are popular because the risk of not being able to make mortgage repayments

is much lower. However, this is only true if both parties continue to earn an income. While the

unemployment rate is reasonable right now and does not seem to be rising, there is a rise in the

current under-employment level, and this also has a significant impact.

Rising House Prices = Increased Mortgage Debt

Because house prices have been rising, overall mortgage debt has also increased significantly. As a

result, most people are now left with at least some debt once they retire. This, in turn, will impact how

much disposable income someone would have upon retiring.


Dual income home loans hit by mortgage stress

The Reserve Bank of Australia is monitoring the situation closely. They are aware of the fact that, over

the past few years, average levels of household debt are on the rise again. However, the Reserve

Bank mainly looks at the number of mortgage defaults. These have been historically low, which means

they are not worried about the immediate future.

Property Auctions Increasing in Popularity

For many financial experts, however, this is an oversight. For instance, CoreLogic, an independent

property research group, has recently released new figures on average house prices. They have

reported that, year on year, house prices have risen by as much as 8%, which is very significant. As a

result, the median house price in Australia now stands at $567,000, although it is somewhat higher in

Melbourne. According to this research, some 77.9% of all property auctions in the capitals of the

mainland resulted in a sale. This figure was just 69.9% one year before. It is likely that this is in part

due to homes continuing to be an interesting investment, with the majority of these properties being

sold to landlords.

Meanwhile, buying at auction is also an attractive proposition for first time buyers, who would

otherwise struggle to enter the housing market. First time buyers are inevitably dual income families,

as it is nearly impossible nowadays to raise sufficient savings for a deposit on a property, particularly

with the low interest rates on savings accounts. This presents a potential but significant risk in the

future, particularly if there will be a negative change in the employment market.


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