Daily Operations Briefing September 2, 2012 As of 8:30 a.m. EDT

1. Daily Operations BriefingSeptember 2, 2012As of 8:30 a.m. EDT

2. Atlantic – Tropical Outlook

3. Atlantic - Tropical Storm Kirk • As of 5:00 a.m. EDT • 710 miles southeast of Cape Race Newfoundland • 740 miles northwest of Azores • Moving northeast at 32 mph • Max sustained winds 50 mph with higher gusts • This general motion accompanied by an increase in forward speed is forecast during the next day or so • Additional weakening is forecast • Kirk is forecast to become a post-tropical cyclone later today • Tropical storm-force winds extend 105 miles

4. Atlantic – Tropical Storm Leslie • As of 5:00 a.m. EDT • 295 miles east-northeast of Leeward Islands • Moving northwest at 15 mph • Maximum sustained winds 70 mph • General motion is forecast to continue today; gradual turn to the north-northwest and north along with a decrease in forward speed • Unfavorable upper-level winds & some fluctuations in strength possible next 48 hours • Tropical storm-force winds extend outward 175 miles

5. Atlantic – Area 1 (Invest 99L) • As of 2:00 a.m. EDT • Area showers and thunderstorms about 1,075 miles northwest of Cape Verde Islands • Slow development of this disturbance possible next 48 hours • Moving west-southwestward at 10-15 miles • LOW (20%) chance of becoming tropical cyclone next 48 hours

6. Eastern Pacific – Tropical Outlook http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant.

7. Eastern Pacific – Tropical Depression Ileana • As of 5:00 a.m. EDT • 725 miles west of southern tip of Baja California Mexico • Moving west at 10 mph • Max sustained winds 35 mph • General motion is forecast to continue for the next day or two • A turn toward west-northwest forecast on Tuesday • Weakening is forecast • Ileana expected to become a Post-Tropical Remnant Low today

8. Eastern Pacific – Area 1 (Invest 98E) • As of 8:00 a.m. EDT • The area of low pressure has become better defined • Located 250 miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico • Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to organize • Could become a tropical depression later today • Moving WNW at 15 mph • HIGH (90%) chance of becoming tropical cyclone next 48 hours

9. Central Pacific – Tropical Outlook

10. Region IV • Region IV • RRCC activated to Level III for Post Tropical Cyclone Isaac (8AM -5PM) and DNC (September 2: 9 AM to 9PM; September 3-6: 12 PM to 12 AM) State Response • Florida: • EOC activated at Level II (Partial Activation 7AM-7PM) • IA and PA PDAs are currently underway Alabama: • SEOC at Level IV (Normal operations; 8AM-8PM) • Mississippi: • EOC activated at Level I (24/7) • IA PDA Pilot Teams to begin operations on September 2

11. RegionVI Region V State Response • Arkansas • AR EOC activated at Level IV (Normal Operations) Louisiana • LA EOC activated at Level I (Full Activation) • 35 PODs, managed and staffed by the Louisiana National Guard • 3 DRCs open • Texas • TX EOC activated to Level III (Increased Readiness Conditions) Region VI • RRCC activated at Level II (24/7) • Disaster Housing Assessment Team deployed to assist Housing Task Force with identifying temporary housing needs

12. FEMA Region VI Hurricane ISAAC Sustainment as of 9/02/12 0500 EDT

13. FEMA Region IV & VI Hurricane ISAAC NGO Sustainment as of 9/02/12 0500 EDT

14. Significant Activity: September 1- 2 • Significant Events: Remnants of Isaac • Tropical Activity: • Atlantic: Tropical Storm Kirk; Tropical Storm Leslie; Area 1 (20%) • Eastern Pacific – Tropical Depression Ileana; Area 1 (90%) • Central Pacific – No tropical cyclones expected through Monday evening • Western Pacific – No significant activity • Significant Weather: • Heavy rainfall – parts of the Ohio Valley • Scattered showers and thunderstorms – East coast • Slight risk of severe thunderstorms – Upper Mississippi Valley, Northern Plains & Tennessee Valley • Critical Fire Weather Areas: portions of MT and ND • Red Flag Warnings: MT, WY, ND, & SD • Space Weather: Minor; S1 Level occurred/moderate; S1/G2 level expected • Earthquake Activity: No significant activity • Disaster Declaration Activity: • Amendment No. 3 & Amendment No. 4 to FEMA-4080-DR-LA • Amendment No. 2 to FEMA-4081-DR-MS

15. National Weather Forecast Daily: 0400 a.m. and 1600 http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaad1.pdf

16. Active Watches/Warnings http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php

17. Precipitation Forecast – 1-3 Day http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/qpf/tcqpf.php?sname=Isaac

18. River Flood Outlook – 7 Day http://water.weather.gov/ahps/forecasts.php?current_color=flood&current_type=all&fcst_type=fcst&conus_map=d_map

19. Convective Outlook Days 1-3 Day 1 Day 2 Day 3

20. Critical Fire Weather Areas Days 1-8 Day 1 Day 2 Day 3-8

21. Hazard Outlook: September 3 - 14 • Sept 3-4: Locally heavy rain for Central Appalachians, Mid-Atlantic, Northeast & southern New England • Sept 3-5: Heavy rain across southeast Alaska and northern Alaskan Panhandle • Sept 3-5: High winds & waves for Aleutians, southwest Alaska & coastal southern Alaska • Sept 3-5: River flooding continuing across Lower Mississippi Valley • Sept 3-4: River flooding possible for parts of Missouri, Illinois, and Indiana • Severe drought for parts of Southeast, Midwest, Middle Mississippi Valley, Great Plains, Rio Grande Valley, Rockies, Southwest, Great Basin and Hawaii.

22. Space Weather http://www.swpc.noaa.n/index.html http:// www.spaceweather.com HF Communications Impact Sunspot Activity http://spaceweather.com/ http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/aviation/index.html

23. Significant Earthquake Activity • U.S. - Past 24 Hours • No significant activity

24. National Fire Activity • September 2, 2012: • National Preparedness Level: 4 • Initial Attack Activity: Light (109) • New Large Fires: 1 • Large Fires Contained: 7 • Uncontained Large Fires: 19 • Area Command Teams committed: 1 • NIMOs committed: 1 • Type 1 IMT(s) committed: 6 • Type 2 IMT(s) Committed: 12 • States Affected: MT, ID, WY, CA, CO, OR, NE, OK, & TX

25. Western Wildfire Summary

26. Disaster Requests & Declarations

27. Disaster Amendments

28. Open Field Offices as of September 2, 2012 Disaster Relief Fund (as of September 1, 2012) Balance $1.418B

29. Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments

30. MCOV Fleet / Deployment Status Data as of: 09/02/12 @ 0400

31. Active IA Disasters VT 4022-DR 4001-DR 1995-DR WA ME MT 1996-DR MT ND ND 1981-DR NH 4026-DR MN NY 4031-DR 4020-DR OR SD 1984-DR SD ID WI NY MA 4028-DR 1994-DR MI WY PA 4030-DR 4025-DR IA 1998-DR CT 4023-DR NE 4013-DR NE IN 4058-DR IN IL 1991-DR MD NV OH DE WV 4059-DR 4061-DR NJ 4021-DR UT WV KY 4057-DR 4008-DR 1976-DR VA VA 4042-DR CA CO MO 4012-DR 1980-DR MO KS NC 4019-DR 1969-DR OK 4078-DR 1989-DR 1970-DR TN 4060-DR 1979-DR 1974-DR AR 4000-DR 1975-DR AR AZ SC NM MS 4081-DR 1983-DR 1972-DR GA 1973-DR AL 4052-DR 1971-DR MS TX 4029-DR LA # of DRsLegend Open Registration Period (60 days from Declaration, unless extended) IHP Active – IHP Assistance period remains open (18 Months from Declaration) IHP Closing Within 60 Days PR 4040-DR 4017-DR LA 4080 - DR FL 4068-DR 4 FL 37 7 Data as of: 09/02/12 @ 0700

32. IA Registration Statistics

33. IMAT Status • = Available/Mission Capable • = Assigned/Deployed • = Available/Partially Mission Capable • = Out-of-Service

34. Urban Search & Rescue • = Available/Mission Capable • = Assigned/Deployed • = Out-of-Service • = Available/Partially Mission Capable

35. RRCC / Regional Watch Center Status

36. National Team Status