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Disclaimer

Disclaimer. The material contained in this PPT is a raw model output and research product. This is meant for scientific use. For any clarification/interpretation, please contact India Meteorological Department. Extended range prediction during 2014 season. INITIAL CONDITION: 8th October 2014.

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  1. Disclaimer The material contained in this PPT is a raw model output and research product. This is meant for scientific use. For any clarification/interpretation, please contact India Meteorological Department.

  2. Extended range prediction during 2014 season INITIAL CONDITION: 8th October 2014 Working group on Extended Range Prediction Ministry of Earth Sciences, Govt. of India

  3. This forecast has been prepared using the CFST126 (11 member) and CFT382(11 member) separately Real-time forecast based on 8th October 2014 initial condition

  4. Daily evolution of rainfall and wind at 850hPa (by CFST126)

  5. Daily evolution of rainfall and wind at 850hPa (by CFST382)

  6. Daily evolution of vorticity at 850hPa and mean sea level pressure (by CFST126)

  7. Daily evolution of vorticity at 850hPa and mean sea level pressure (by CFST382)

  8. Daily evolution of divergence and winds at 200hPa (by CFST126)

  9. Daily evolution of divergence and winds at 200hPa (by CFST382)

  10. Predicted pentad wise rainfall (by CFST126)

  11. Predicted pentad wise rainfall (by CFST382)

  12. Key points from the present forecast • We are starting Extended Range Forecast beyond monsoon season. Complete presentation will be available from mid-October.

  13. Thanks…..

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