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MCDA; Regime Analysis and Flag Model. Introduction Evaluation Regime Analysis and Flag Model Application of the methods Maastricht Aachen Airpot: a short description Definition of criteria and impacts Regime Analysis; obtaining of rank order of alternatives

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Mcda regime analysis and flag model

MCDA; Regime Analysis and Flag Model


Overview of the presentation

Introduction

Evaluation

Regime Analysis and Flag Model

Application of the methods

Maastricht Aachen Airpot: a short description

Definition of criteria and impacts

Regime Analysis; obtaining of rank order of alternatives

Flag Model: acceptability of alternatives

Conclusions

Overview of the presentation


History of evaluation
History of evaluation

  • The standard evaluation framework from an economic perspective is Cost-Benefit Analysis.

  • Unfortunately, many intrinsic shortcomings and practical limitations are related to CBA (accuracy of information , distributional equity, compensatory payments, discount rate, lifetime of the project).

  • Resulting in the development of alternative evaluation methods, such as multicriteria analysis.

  • Aim. Closer orientation towards actual decision-making processes (cyclical nature of process, interactivity, conflicts between stakeholders, inclusion of unpriced effects, equity concerns, etc.)


Evaluation process

1. Problem definition

2. Definition of alternatives

3. Definition of criteria and weights

4. Impact assessment

5. Analysis of scores and alternatives

6. Conclusions

Evaluation process



Maastricht aachen airport 4 scenarios
Maastricht Aachen Airport: 4 scenarios

Scenario 1: Business as Usual

  • A further decrease of aircargo handling at MAA.

  • Stabilisation of passengers traffic (350.000 p.y).

    Scenario 2: MAA as a Passengers Airport

  • Construction of a new runway .

  • Outplacement of the Dutch National Aviation School.

    Scenario 3: MAA as an “Euregio” Airport

  • Construction of a new large runway to accommodate larger aircrafts.

  • Open night regime (24 hours).

    Scenario 4: Tradeable Permits

  • MAA is a buyer on the market of CO2 permits.

  • No expansion without acquisition of additional permits


1

2

3

4

Steps in the Flag Model




Benchmark

CTV min

CTV max

A

B

C

D

Section A Green, No reason for specific concern

Section B Yellow, Be alert

Section C Red, Reverse trends

Section D Black, Bad development CTV = Critical Treshold Value

Flag Model





Evaluation

1. Problem definition

2. Definition of alternatives

3. Definition of criteria and weights

4. Impact assessment

5. Analysis of scores and alternatives

6. Conclusions

Evaluation


Regime analysis

  • Regime analysis is a discrete multicriteria method.

  • The basic idea is to rank a set of alternatives by means of their pairwise comparisons in relation to a set of criteria.

  • Regime analysis makes use of an impact matrix and a set of weights.

  • The method can cope with qualitative, quantitative and mixed data.


Regime analysis 2

  • Concordance set; all criteria for which alternative A performs better than, or is equal to, alternative B.

  • Discordance set; all criteria for which alternative A performs worse than, or is equal to, alternative B.

  • Concordance index; summation of the weights that are related to the criteria in the concordance set (Cab).

  • Disconcordance index; summation of the weights that are related to the criteria in the concordance set (DCba).

  • Net concordance index = concordance index - disconcordance index

  • If sign of CI is positive. Alternative A is preferred above B.



Regime analysis ranking alternatives1
Regime analysis; ranking alternatives

1. Passenger Airport

2. MAA serving the “Euregio”

3. Business as Usual

4. Tradeable Permits


Conclusions

  • Structuring the evaluation process ensures the compatibility between the assessment method(s) used and the problem.

  • The methods are capable of dealing with the multiple dimensions of projects (e.g. social, cultural, ecological, technological, institutional, etc.).

  • The methods give due attention to interest conflicts among stakeholders involved. (Different weight schemes in Regime).

  • The methods can take into account qualitative as well as quantitative effects of projects.

  • Flag model gives a clear visualization of the effects.

  • Flag model can play an important role in the interactive design of alternatives and criteria.


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