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ACERA Projects and progress Outlook 2011 Mark Burgman PowerPoint PPT Presentation


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ACERA Projects and progress Outlook 2011 Mark Burgman. Who we are. UC R IVERSIDE. Past topics. Spatial analysis Expert judgement Disease freedom When to declare eradication Where should we search? Stakeholder mapping Consequences Effective inspection. Maxent.

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ACERA Projects and progress Outlook 2011 Mark Burgman

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Acera projects and progress outlook 2011 mark burgman

ACERA

Projects and progress

Outlook 2011

Mark Burgman


Who we are

Who we are

UCRIVERSIDE


Past topics

Past topics

  • Spatial analysis

  • Expert judgement

  • Disease freedom

  • When to declare eradication

  • Where should we search?

  • Stakeholder mapping

  • Consequences

  • Effective inspection

Maxent

(Jane Elith, Michael Kearney,

John Leathwick)

Bayes nets

Cost-effectiveness

analysis

(Cindy Hauser, Mick McCarthy,

Hugh Possingham, Tracy Rout,

Susie Hester, Oscar Cacho)

(Tony Martin,

Greg Hood)


What s next

What’s next?

ACERA II

  • ACERA 1001 Effective inspection (risk-return)

  • ACERA 1002 Estimating consequences

  • ACERA 1003 Biosecurity intelligence

  • ACERA 1004 Post-border surveillance and decision-making

  • ACERA 1005 Training

  • ACERA 1006 Pathway analysis


Biosecurity intelligence

Biosecurity Intelligence

Mike Nunn, Mark Burgman, Aidan Lyon, Geoff Grossel

Peter Black, Michael Cole, Stephen Dempsey, Ingo Ernst, Brett Evans, Mark Gibbs, Neil Grant, Mikael Hirsch, Claire Murray, Paul Pheloung, Belinda Wright

  • Intelligence Software

  • Professional Networks

  • Foresight


Biosecurity intelligence1

Biosecurity Intelligence

  • Intelligence Software

Google Flu Trends

GPHIN

ProMED

HealthMap

EpiSPIDER

WDIN

BioCaster

NAPIS

Geographic bias, taxonomic bias, original language, first reports, delays, unique reports, sources (including use of social media), user input

BioCaster Work Flow

Yahoo Pipes, Python, Marine pests and diseases (Grossel, Lyon)


Biosecurity intelligence2

Biosecurity Intelligence

2. Professional networks

  • EMPLAN AI List

  • Plant list

  • Marine list

  • Pip Pattison, Eric Quintane


Biosecurity intelligence3

Biosecurity Intelligence

3. Foresight


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