Something to Think About and the Decision Aid Developed by the NAAFP
This presentation is the property of its rightful owner.
Sponsored Links
1 / 9

Joe L. Outlaw Professor & Extension Economist Co-Director, AFPC Train the Trainer Kansas City, MO PowerPoint PPT Presentation


  • 81 Views
  • Uploaded on
  • Presentation posted in: General

Something to Think About and the Decision Aid Developed by the NAAFP. Joe L. Outlaw Professor & Extension Economist Co-Director, AFPC Train the Trainer Kansas City, MO September 4, 2014. A Few Things to Think About.

Download Presentation

Joe L. Outlaw Professor & Extension Economist Co-Director, AFPC Train the Trainer Kansas City, MO

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation

Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author.While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server.


- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - E N D - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Presentation Transcript


Joe l outlaw professor extension economist co director afpc train the trainer kansas city mo

Something to Think About and the Decision Aid Developed by the NAAFP

Joe L. Outlaw

Professor & Extension Economist

Co-Director, AFPC

Train the Trainer

Kansas City, MO

September 4, 2014


A few things to think about

A Few Things to Think About

  • All of the decisions required in the bill add to the producer’s ability to tailor the bill to fit their operations – not just add to complication

  • There will be plenty of time to gather needed info, analyze their options, and make sign-up decisions – no reason to panic

  • The Title I decision is a life of the farm bill decision

  • Two kinds of producers – those who want to maximize their government payments and those that want to manage risk

    • It is one thing to use point estimates to show how programs work – quite another for evaluating alternatives


My guess at the sign up timeline

My Guess at the Sign-up Timeline

August 2014

June

2015

Jan

May

Oct

Feb

Nov

March

Dec

April

Sept

Fix Planted Acres with FSA

Choice Between ARC & PLC

Reallocate Bases & Update Yields

Annual Sign-up


Joe l outlaw professor extension economist co director afpc train the trainer kansas city mo

Producer Price Outlook a Factor in ARC/PLC Decision (Corn Ex.)

Yields could also offset

FAPRI Price Projections


Discussion of decision aid s

Discussion of Decision Aid(s)

  • Our group (NAAFP) has been working on this for more than 1.5 years

  • Applied for and received funding from USDA to develop nation-wide decision aid

  • Decided it was in the best interest of our producers to make our decision aid available prior to signing contract with USDA https://www.afpc.tamu.edu/models/decisionaid.php


Joe l outlaw professor extension economist co director afpc train the trainer kansas city mo

Thanks!!!

Joe Outlaw

[email protected]

979-845-5913

WWW.AFPC.TAMU.EDU

@AFPCTAMU


  • Login