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Commercial Real Estate Outlook IRR-Viewpoint 2010 PowerPoint PPT Presentation


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Commercial Real Estate Outlook IRR-Viewpoint 2010 Industrial The Best, The Worst and The Local Market Top Three Markets By Vacancy… Los Angeles, CA – 4.92% Orange County, CA – 6.58% Seattle, WA – 6.70% Local Market… 50. Charlotte, NC – 14.26% (3Q 2009);14.70% (1Q 2010-NA )

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Commercial Real Estate OutlookIRR-Viewpoint 2010


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IndustrialThe Best, The Worst and The Local Market

Top Three Markets By Vacancy…

  • Los Angeles, CA – 4.92%

  • Orange County, CA – 6.58%

  • Seattle, WA – 6.70%

    Local Market…

    50. Charlotte, NC – 14.26% (3Q 2009);14.70% (1Q 2010-NA)

    …and the Bottom Three Markets

    54. Austin, TX – 18.40%

    55. Boston, MA – 24.76%

    56. Louisville, KY – 26.01%


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Industrial Market Pricing


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Industrial – Overall Capitalization Rates

Korpacz – Second Quarter 2010 –Investor Survey

  • Realty Rates.com – Second Quarter 2010- Investor Survey

  • Industrial - 9.59%


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ApartmentThe Best, The Worst and The Local Market

Top Three Markets By Vacancy…

  • San Francisco, CA – 3.59%

  • Syracuse – 3.94%

  • New York City – 4.80%

    Local Market…

    49. Charlotte – 11.64% (3Q–2009);13.6% (1Q 2010)

    …and the Bottom Three Markets

    54. Phoenix – 12.97%

    55. Naples/Ft. Myers – 13.37%

    56. Providence – 14.11%


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Apartment Market Pricing


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Apartment – Overall Capitalization Rates

Korpacz – Second Quarter 2010 –Investor Survey

  • Realty Rates.com – Second Quarter 2010- Investor Survey

  • Retail – 9.50% Average


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Office Market Cycle


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Office – CBD The Best, The Worst and The Local Market

Top Three Markets By Vacancy…

  • Charlotte, NC – 6.43%

  • Boise, ID – 8.10%

  • Memphis, TN – 8.70%

    Local Market…

    1. Charlotte, NC – 6.43% (3Q–2009); 12.0% (1Q-2010)

    …and the Bottom Three Markets

    54. San Jose, CA – 23.90%

    55. Detroit, MI – 25.00%

    56. Dayton, OH – 26.00%


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Office – Suburban The Best, The Worst and The Local Market

Top Three Markets By Vacancy…

  • Dayton, OH – 10.88%

  • Pittsburgh, PA – 11.09%

  • Los Angeles, CA – 11.30%

    Local Market…

    41. Charlotte, NC – 19.07% (3Q–2009);19.77% (1Q–2010)

    …and the Bottom Three Markets

    54. Detroit, MI – 23.89%

    55. Phoenix, AZ – 27.41%

    56. Hartford, CT – 29.45%


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Office Market Pricing


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Office – Overall Capitalization Rates

Korpacz – Second Quarter 2010 –Investor Survey

  • Realty Rates.com – Second Quarter 2010- Investor Survey

  • Office – 9.48% Average


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Retail Market Cycle


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RetailThe Best, The Worst and The Local Market

Top Three Markets By Vacancy…

  • San Francisco, CA – 3.08%

  • Los Angeles, CA – 4.87%

  • San Jose, CA – 5.03%

    Local Market…

    12. Charlotte, NC – 6.77% (3Q–2009); 8.0% (4Q–2009)

    …and the Bottom Three Markets

    54. Providence, RI – 17.00%

    55. Dayton, OH – 17.30%

    56. Detroit, MI – 17.35%


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Retail Market Pricing


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Retail – Overall Capitalization Rates

Korpacz – Second Quarter 2010 –Investor Survey

  • Realty Rates.com – Second Quarter 2010- Investor Survey

  • Retail – 9.50% Average


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Recent Development in Capitalization Rates

Korpacz Survey data for investment grade property and our analysis are presented in the following table:


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Recent Development in Capitalization Rates

Korpacz Survey data for non-investment grade property and our analysis are presented in the following table:


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Real Estate Listing Sources – For Sale & For Lease

  • Loopnet

    http://www.loopnet.com/

  • Edis

    http://www.nccommerce.com/en/BusinessServices/LocateYourBusiness/BuildingsAndSites/

    (N.C. Department of Commerce Buildings & Sites EDIS)

  • Mecklenburg County Real Estate Lookup

    http://meckcama.co.mecklenburg.nc.us/relookup/

    (Market Analysis Link)

  • National & Local Brokerage Firms

    • Apartment Realty Advisorshttp://www.arausa.com/Index.cfm

    • CB Richard Ellis (CBRE) http://www.cbre.com/EN/Pages/default.aspx

    • Sperry Van Nesshttp://www.svn.com/

    • Lincoln Harris CSGhttp://www.lincolnharris.com/Home/

    • The Stump Corporationhttp://www.stumpnet.com/

    • Marcus & Millichamp http://www.marcusmillichap.com/

    • NAIGLOBAL http://www.naiglobal.com/


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National Real Estate Surveys

  • IRR.com (Viewpoint – Real Estate Value Trends)

  • Marcus & Millchap.com

  • NAIGLOBAL

  • www.pwc.com (Korpacz Real Estate Investor Survey)

  • ACLI(American Council of Life Insurers)

  • Realty Rates.com(Developer Surveys, Financial Indicators, Market Surveys, Investor Surveys)


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Vacancy and Rental Rate Surveys - SUBSCRIPTION

  • Karnes (Office, Retail and Industrial)

  • Real Data (Apartments)

  • REIS


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Real Estate Sales - SUBSCRIPTION

  • Costar

  • REIS

  • Real Capital Analytics

    http://www.rcanalytics.com/


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Integra Realty ResourcesNation’s Largest Valuationand Counseling Firm

59 Offices in 33 states, plus DC and Mexico

Over 800 Consultants & Advisors

150+ MAIs company-wide


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