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CHAPTER 1 An Overview of Financial Management. The basic goal: to create stock-holder value/shareholders wealth Agency relationships: 1. Stockholders versus managers 2. Stockholders versus creditors. What is an agency relationship?.

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CHAPTER 1An Overview of Financial Management

  • The basic goal: to create stock-holder value/shareholders wealth

  • Agency relationships:

    1. Stockholders versus managers

    2. Stockholders versus creditors


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What is an agency relationship?

An agency relationship arises whenever one or more individuals, called principals,

  • hires another individual or organization, called an agent, to perform some service and

  • then delegates decision-making authority to that agent.


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If you are the only employee, and only your money is invested in the business, would any agencyproblems exist?

No… agency problem would exist.

  • whenever the manager of a firm owns less than 100 percent of the firm’s common stock, or

  • the firm borrows. You own 100 percent of the firm.


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If you needed additional capital to buy computer inventory or to develop software, might that lead to agency problems?

Acquiring outside capital could lead to agency problems.


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Would it matter if the new capital came in the form of an unsecured bank loan, a bank loan secured by your inventory of computers, or from new stockholders?

Agency problems are less for secured than for unsecured debt, and different between stockholders and creditors.


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There are 2 potential agency conflicts: unsecured bank loan, a bank loan secured by your inventory of computers, or from new stockholders?

  • Conflicts between stockholders and managers.

  • Conflicts between stockholders and creditors.


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Would potential agency problems increase or decrease if you expanded operations to other campuses?

Increase. You could not physically be at all locations at the same time. Consequently, you would have to delegate decision-making authority to others.


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If you were a bank lending officer looking at the situation, what actions might make a loan feasible?

Creditors can protect themselves by

(1) having the loan secured and

(2) placing restrictive covenants in debt agreements. They can also charge a higher than normal interest rate to compensate for risk.


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As the founder-owner-president of the company, what actions might mitigate your agency problems if you expanded beyond your home campus?

1. Structuring compensation packages to attract and retain able managers whose interests are aligned with yours.

(More…)


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2. Threat of firing. might mitigate your agency problems if you expanded beyond your home campus?

3. Increase “monitoring” costs by making frequent visits to “off campus” locations.


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Would going public in an IPO increase or decrease agency problems?

By going public through an IPO, your firm would bring in new shareholders. This would:

  • increase agency problems, especially if you sell most of your stock and buy a yacht.

  • You could minimize potential agency problems by staying on as CEO and running the company.


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Why might you want to (1) inflate your reported earnings or (2) use off balance sheet financing to make your financial position look stronger?

A manager might inflate a firm's reported earnings or make its debt appear to be lower if he or she wanted the firm to look good temporarily. For example just prior to exercising stock options or raising more debt.

(More…)


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What are the potential consequences of inflating earnings or hiding debt?

If the firm is publicly traded, the stock price will probably drop once it is revealed that fraud has taken place. If private, banks may be unwilling to lend to it, and investors may be unwilling to invest more money.


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What kind of compensation program might you use to minimize agency problems?

  • “Reasonable” annual salary to meet living expenses

  • Cash (or stock) bonus

  • Options to buy stock or actual shares of stock to reward long-term performance

  • Tie bonus/options to EVA


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Is it easy for someone with technical skills and no understanding of financial management to move higher and higher in management?

No. Investors are forcing managers to focus on value maximization. Successful firms (those who maximize shareholder value) will not continue to promote individuals who lack an understanding of financial management.


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Why might someone interviewing for an entry level job have a better shot at getting a good job if he or she had a good grasp of financial management?

Managers want to hire people who can make decisions with the broader goal of corporate value maximization in mind because investors are forcing top managers to focus on value maximization.

(More…)


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CHAPTER 3 better shot at getting a good job if he or she had a good grasp of financial management?

Accounting for Financial Management

  • Balance sheet

  • Income statement

  • Statement of cash flows

  • Personal taxes

  • Corporate taxes


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Income Statement better shot at getting a good job if he or she had a good grasp of financial management?

20062007

Sales 5,834,400 7,035,600

COGS 4,980,000 5,800,000

Other expenses 720,000 612,960

Deprec. 116,960120,000

Tot. op. costs 5,816,9606,532,960

EBIT 17,440 502,640

Int. expense 176,00080,000

EBT (158,560) 422,640

Taxes (40%) (63,424)169,056

Net income (95,136)253,584


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What happened to sales and net income? better shot at getting a good job if he or she had a good grasp of financial management?


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Balance Sheets: Assets better shot at getting a good job if he or she had a good grasp of financial management?

20062007

Cash 7,282 14,000

S-T invest. 20,000 71,632

AR 632,160 878,000

Inventories 1,287,3601,716,480

Total CA 1,946,802 2,680,112

Net FA 939,790836,840

Total assets 2,886,5923,516,952


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Balance Sheets: Liabilities & Equity better shot at getting a good job if he or she had a good grasp of financial management?

20062007

Accts. payable 324,000 359,800

Notes payable 720,000 300,000

Accruals 284,960380,000

Total CL 1,328,960 1,039,800

Long-term debt 1,000,000 500,000

Common stock 460,000 1,680,936

Ret. earnings 97,632296,216

Total equity 557,6321,977,152

Total L&E 2,886,5923,516,952


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1. What effect did the expansion have on the asset section of the balance sheet?

2. What effect did the expansion have on liabilities & equity?


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Statement of Retained Earnings: 2007 of the balance sheet?

Balance of ret. earnings,

12/31/2002 203,768

Add: Net income, 2003 (95,136)

Less: Dividends paid, 2003(11,000)

Balance of ret. earnings,

12/31/2003 97,632


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Statement of Cash Flows: 2007 of the balance sheet?

Operating Activities

Net Income (95,136)

Adjustments:

Depreciation 116,960

Change in AR (280,960)

Change in inventories (572,160)

Change in AP 178,400

Change in accruals 148,960

Net cash provided by ops. (503,936)


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Long-Term Investing Activities of the balance sheet?

Cash used to acquire FA (711,950)

Financing Activities

Change in S-T invest. 28,600

Change in notes payable 520,000

Change in long-term debt 676,568

Payment of cash dividends (11,000)

Net cash provided by fin. act. 1,214,168


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Summary of Statement of CF of the balance sheet?

Net cash provided by ops. (503,936)

Net cash to acquire FA (711,950)

Net cash provided by fin. act. 1,214,168

Net change in cash (1,718)

Cash at beginning of year 9,000

Cash at end of year 7,282



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Other Data of the balance sheet?

20062007

Stock price $6.00 $12.17

# of shares 100,000 250,000

EPS -$0.95 $1.01

DPS $0.11 $0.22

Book val. per share $5.58 $7.91

Lease payments 40,000 40,000

Tax rate 0.4 0.4


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Individual Rates for 2006 of the balance sheet?

Taxable Income Tax on BaseRate*

0 - 6,000 0 10.0%

6,000 - 27,950 600.0 15.0%

27,950 - 67,700 3,892.5 27.0%

67,700 - 141,250 14,625.0 30.0%

141,250 - 307,050 36,690.0 35.0%

307,050 -  94,720.0 38.6%

*Plus this percentage on the amount over the bracket base.


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CHAPTER 13 of the balance sheet? Analysis of Financial Statements

  • Ratio analysis

  • Du Pont system

  • Effects of improving ratios

  • Limitations of ratio analysis

  • Qualitative factors


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What are the five major categories of ratios, and what questions do they answer?

  • Liquidity: Can we make required payments as they fall due?

  • Asset management: Do we have the right amount of assets for the level of sales?

(More…)


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  • Debt management: questions do they answer? Do we have the right mix of debt and equity?

  • Profitability: Do sales prices exceed unit costs, and are sales high enough as reflected in PM, ROE, and ROA?

  • Market value: Do investors like what they see as reflected in P/E and M/B ratios?


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Calculate the firm’s forecasted current and quick ratios for 2007.

$2,680

$1,040

CA

CL

CR04 = = = 2.58x.

CA - Inv.

CL

QR04 =

$2,680 - $1,716

$1,040

= = 0.93x.


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Comments on CR and QR for 2007

2007 2006 2005 Ind.

CR 2.58x 1.46x 2.3x2.7x

QR 0.93x 0.5x 0.8x1.0x

  • Expected to improve but still below the industry average.

  • Liquidity position is weak.


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Sales for 2007

Inventories

Inv. turnover =

= = 4.10x.

$7,036

$1,716

2007 2006 2005 Ind.

Inv. T. 4.1x 4.5x 4.8x6.1x

What is the inventory turnover ratio as compared to the industry average?


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Comments on Inventory Turnover for 2007

  • Inventory turnover is below industry average.

  • Firm might have old inventory, or its control might be poor.

  • No improvement is currently forecasted.


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DSO is the average number of days after making a sale before receiving cash.

Receivables

Average sales per day

DSO =

= =

= 45.5 days.

Receivables

Sales/365

$878

$7,036/365


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Appraisal of DSO receiving cash.

2007 2006 2005 Ind.

DSO 45.5 39.5 37.432.0

  • Firm collects too slowly, and situation is getting worse.

  • Poor credit policy.


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Fixed assets receiving cash.

turnover

Sales

Net fixed assets

=

= = 8.41x.

$7,036

$837

Total assets

turnover

Sales

Total assets

=

= = 2.00x.

$7,036

$3,517

Fixed Assets and Total Assets

Turnover Ratios

(More…)


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2007 2006 2005 Ind. receiving cash.

FA TO 8.4x 6.2x 10.0x7.0x

TA TO 2.0x 2.0x 2.3x2.5x

  • FA turnover is expected to exceed industry average. Good.

  • TA turnover not up to industry average. Caused by excessive current assets (A/R and inventory).


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Total liabilities receiving cash.

Total assets

Debt ratio =

= = 43.8%.

$1,040 + $500

$3,517

EBIT

Int. expense

TIE =

= = 6.3x.

$502.6

$80

Calculate the debt, TIE, and EBITDA coverage ratios.

(More…)


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EBITDA receiving cash.

coverage

= EC

EBIT + Depr. & Amort. + Lease payments

Interest Lease

expense pmt.

= = 5.5x.

+ + Loan pmt.

$502.6 + $120 + $40

$80 + $40 + $0

All three ratios reflect use of debt, but focus on different aspects.


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How do the debt management ratios compare with industry averages?

2007 2006 2005 Ind.

D/A 43.8% 80.7% 54.8%50.0%

TIE 6.3x 0.1x 3.3x6.2x

EC 5.5x 0.8x 2.6x8.0x

Recapitalization improved situation, but lease payments drag down EC.


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NI averages?

Sales

$253.6

$7,036

PM = = = 3.6%.

Profit Margin (PM)

2007 2006 2005 Ind.

PM 3.6% -1.6% 2.6%3.6%

Very bad in 2003, but projected to

meet industry average in 2004. Looking good.


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Basic Earning Power (BEP) averages?

EBIT

Total assets

  • BEP =

  • = = 14.3%.

$502.6

$3,517

(More…)


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2007 2006 2005 Ind. averages?

BEP 14.3% 0.6% 14.2%17.8%

  • BEP removes effect of taxes and financial leverage. Useful for comparison.

  • Projected to be below average.

  • Room for improvement.


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Return on Assets (ROA) averages?

and Return on Equity (ROE)

Net income

Total assets

  • ROA =

  • = = 7.2%.

$253.6

$3,517

(More…)


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Net income averages?

Common equity

ROE =

= = 12.8%.

$253.6

$1,977

2007 2006 2005 Ind.

ROA 7.2% -3.3% 6.0%9.0%

ROE 12.8% -17.1% 13.3%18.0%

Both below average but improving.


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Effects of Debt on ROA and ROE averages?

  • ROA is lowered by debt--interest expense lowers net income, which also lowers ROA.

  • However, the use of debt lowers equity, and if equity is lowered more than net income, ROE would increase.


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Price = averages?$12.17.

EPS = = = $1.01.

P/E = = = 12x.

NI

Shares out.

$253.6

250

Price per share

EPS

$12.17

$1.01

Calculate and appraise the

P/E, P/CF, and M/B ratios.


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NI + Depr. averages?

Shares out.

CF per share =

= = $1.49.

$253.6 + $120.0

250

Price per share

Cash flow per share

P/CF =

= = 8.2x.

$12.17

$1.49


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Com. equity averages?

Shares out.

BVPS =

= = $7.91.

$1,977

250

Mkt. price per share

Book value per share

M/B =

= = 1.54x.

$12.17

$7.91


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2007 2006 2005 Ind. averages?

P/E 12.0x -6.3x 9.7x14.2x

P/CF 8.2x 27.5x 8.0x7.6x

M/B 1.5x 1.1x 1.3x2.9x

  • P/E: How much investors will pay for $1 of earnings. High is good.

  • M/B: How much paid for $1 of book value. Higher is good.

  • P/E and M/B are high if ROE is high, risk is low.


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What are some potential problems and limitations of financial ratio analysis?

  • Comparison with industry averages is difficult if the firm operates many different divisions.

  • “Average” performance is not necessarily good.

  • Seasonal factors can distort ratios.

(More…)


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  • Window dressing financial ratio analysis? techniques can make statements and ratios look better.

  • Different accounting and operating practices can distort comparisons.

  • Sometimes it is difficult to tell if a ratio value is “good” or “bad.”

  • Often, different ratios give different signals, so it is difficult to tell, on balance, whether a company is in a strong or weak financial condition.


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What are some qualitative factors analysts should consider when evaluating a company’s likely future financial performance?

  • Are the company’s revenues tied to a single customer?

  • To what extent are the company’s revenues tied to a single product?

  • To what extent does the company rely on a single supplier?

(More…)


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CHAPTER 4 when evaluating a company’s likely future financial performance?

Risk and Return: Part I

  • Basic return concepts

  • Basic risk concepts

  • Stand-alone risk

  • Portfolio (market) risk

  • Risk and return: CAPM/SML


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What are investment returns? when evaluating a company’s likely future financial performance?

  • Investment returns measure the financial results of an investment.

  • Returns may be historical or prospective (anticipated).

  • Returns can be expressed in:

    • Dollar terms.

    • Percentage terms.


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What is the return on an investment that costs $1,000 and is soldafter 1 year for $1,100?

  • Dollar return:

$ Received - $ Invested

$1,100 - $1,000 = $100.

  • Percentage return:

$ Return/$ Invested

$100/$1,000 = 0.10 = 10%.


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What is investment risk? sold

  • Typically, investment returns are not known with certainty.

  • Investment risk pertains to the probability of earning a return less than that expected.

  • The greater the chance of a return far below the expected return, the greater the risk.


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Probability distribution sold

Stock X

Stock Y

Rate of

return (%)

-20

0

15

50

  • Which stock is riskier? Why?


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Assume the Following soldInvestment Alternatives


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What is unique about soldthe T-bill return?

  • The T-bill will return 8% regardless of the state of the economy.

  • Is the T-bill riskless? Explain.


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Calculate the expected rate of return on each alternative. sold

^

r = expected rate of return.

^

rAlta = 0.10(-22%) + 0.20(-2%)

+ 0.40(20%) + 0.20(35%)

+ 0.10(50%) = 17.4%.


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^ sold

  • Alta has the highest rate of return.

  • Does that make it best?


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What is the standard deviation soldof returns for each alternative?


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soldT-bills = 0.0%.

Repo = 13.4%.

Am Foam = 18.8%.

Market = 15.3%.

Alta = 20.0%.

Alta Inds:

 = ((-22 - 17.4)20.10 + (-2 - 17.4)20.20

+ (20 - 17.4)20.40 + (35 - 17.4)20.20

+ (50 - 17.4)20.10)1/2 = 20.0%.


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Prob. sold

T-bill

Am. F.

Alta

0

8

13.8

17.4

Rate of Return (%)


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  • Standard deviation soldmeasures the stand-alone risk of an investment.

  • The larger the standard deviation, the higher the probability that returns will be far below the expected return.

  • Coefficient of variation is an alternative measure of stand-alone risk.



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Coefficient of Variation: soldCV = Expected return/standard deviation.

CVT-BILLS = 0.0%/8.0% = 0.0.

CVAlta Inds = 20.0%/17.4% = 1.1.

CVRepo Men = 13.4%/1.7% = 7.9.

CVAm. Foam = 18.8%/13.8% = 1.4.

CVM = 15.3%/15.0% = 1.0.



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Return vs. Risk (Std. Dev.): sold Which investment is best?


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Use the SML to calculate each soldalternative’s required return.

  • The Security Market Line (SML) is part of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM).

  • SML: ri = rRF + (RPM)bi .

  • Assume rRF = 8%; rM = rM = 15%.

  • RPM = (rM - rRF) = 15% - 8% = 7%.

^


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Required Rates of Return sold

rAlta = 8.0% + (7%)(1.29)

= 8.0% + 9.0% = 17.0%.

rM = 8.0% + (7%)(1.00) = 15.0%.

rAm. F. = 8.0% + (7%)(0.68) = 12.8%.

rT-bill = 8.0% + (7%)(0.00) = 8.0%.

rRepo = 8.0% + (7%)(-0.86) = 2.0%.



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SML: r soldi = rRF + (RPM) bi

ri = 8%+ (7%) bi

ri (%)

.

Alta

Market

.

.

rM = 15

rRF = 8

.

Am. Foam

T-bills

.

Repo

Risk, bi

-1 0 1 2

SML and Investment Alternatives


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Portfolio Risk and Return sold

Assume a two-stock portfolio with $50,000 in Alta Inds. and $50,000 in Repo Men.

^

Calculate rp and p.


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^ sold

Portfolio Return, rp

^

rp is a weighted average:

n

^

^

rp = wiri

i = 1

^

rp = 0.5(17.4%) + 0.5(1.7%) = 9.6%.

^

^

^

rp is between rAlta and rRepo.


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soldp (%)

Company Specific (Diversifiable) Risk

35

Stand-Alone Risk, p

20

0

Market Risk

10 20 30 40 2,000+

# Stocks in Portfolio


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Stand-alone Market Diversifiable sold

= + .

risk risk risk

Market risk is that part of a security’s stand-alone risk that cannot be eliminated by diversification.

Firm-specific, or diversifiable, risk is that part of a security’s stand-alone risk that can be eliminated by diversification.


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Conclusions sold

  • As more stocks are added, each new stock has a smaller risk-reducing impact on the portfolio.

  • p falls very slowly after about 40 stocks are included. The lower limit for p is about 20% = M .

  • By forming well-diversified portfolios, investors can eliminate about half the riskiness of owning a single stock.


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How is market risk measured for individual securities? sold

  • Market risk, which is relevant for stocks held in well-diversified portfolios, is defined as the contribution of a security to the overall riskiness of the portfolio.

  • It is measured by a stock’s beta coefficient. For stock i, its beta is:

    bi = (riMsi) / sM


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How are betas calculated? sold

  • In addition to measuring a stock’s contribution of risk to a portfolio, beta also which measures the stock’s volatility relative to the market.


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Using a Regression to Estimate Beta sold

  • Run a regression with returns on the stock in question plotted on the Y axis and returns on the market portfolio plotted on the X axis.

  • The slope of the regression line, which measures relative volatility, is defined as the stock’s beta coefficient, or b.



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Calculating Beta for PQU PQU.

r

KWE

40%

20%

r

0%

M

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

-20%

r

= 0.83r

+ 0.03

PQU

M

-40%

2

R

= 0.36


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What is beta for PQU? PQU.

  • The regression line, and hence beta, can be found using a calculator with a regression function or a spreadsheet program. In this example, b = 0.83.


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How is beta interpreted? PQU.

  • If b = 1.0, stock has average risk.

  • If b > 1.0, stock is riskier than average.

  • If b < 1.0, stock is less risky than average.

  • Most stocks have betas in the range of 0.5 to 1.5.

  • Can a stock have a negative beta?


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Expected Return versus Market Risk PQU.

  • Which of the alternatives is best?


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Calculate beta for a portfolio with 50% Alta and 50% Repo PQU.

bp = Weighted average

= 0.5(bAlta) + 0.5(bRepo)

= 0.5(1.29) + 0.5(-0.86)

= 0.22.


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What is the required rate of return PQU.on the Alta/Repo portfolio?

rp = Weighted average r

= 0.5(17%) + 0.5(2%) = 9.5%.

Or use SML:

rp = rRF + (RPM) bp

= 8.0% + 7%(0.22) = 9.5%.


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Impact of Inflation Change on SML PQU.

Required Rate

of Return r (%)

 I = 3%

New SML

SML2

SML1

18

15

11

8

Original situation

0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0


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Impact of Risk Aversion Change PQU.

After increase

in risk aversion

Required Rate of Return (%)

SML2

rM = 18%

rM = 15%

SML1

18

15

 RPM = 3%

8

Original situation

Risk, bi

1.0


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Has the CAPM been completely confirmed or refuted through empirical tests?

  • No. The statistical tests have problems that make empirical verification or rejection virtually impossible.

    • Investors’ required returns are based on future risk, but betas are calculated with historical data.

    • Investors may be concerned about both stand-alone and market risk.


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CHAPTER 2 empirical tests?

Time Value of Money

  • FUTURE VALUE

  • PRESENT VALUE

  • ANUITY

  • PERPETUITIES

  • COMPOUNDING

  • DISCOUNTING


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TIME VALUE OF MONEY empirical tests?

  • The value of money today is not similar to the value of money in the future

  • due to inflation rate

  • It’s involve :

    • FV = future value

    • i = interest rates banks pays per year

    • INT = dollars of interest you earn during the year (beg. Amount x i)

    • PV = Present value

    • n = member of periods involved in the analysis


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FUTURE VALUE empirical tests?

FVn = PV (1+ i)n

= PV (FVIF i,n)

0

PV

5

FV

Initial deposit = 100

Interest earned = 5%

Year of investment = 5

Amount at the end of 5 years???


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PRESENT VALUE empirical tests?

PVn = FV /(1+ i)n

= FV /(1/1+i)n

= FV(PVIF i,n)

0

PV

5

FV

Amount expected att the end of 5 years = RM1000

Interest earned = 5%

Year of investment = 5

What is the Initial deposit ????


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ANUITY – Continuous payment empirical tests?

PVAn= PMT Σ/[1/1+i)t]

= PMT [ (1- /[1/1+i)t]/i

= PMT(PVIFA i,n)

FVAn = PMT Σ/[1+i)n-t

= PMT [ (1+i)n-1]/i

= PMT(FVIFA i,n)

0

PV

5

FV

Amount expected att the end of 5 years = RM1000

Interest earned = 5%

Year of investment = 5

What is the Initial deposit

Payment


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PERPETUITIES empirical tests?

  • Annuities that go on indefinitely or perpetually

    PV (Perpetuity) = PMT/i


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