International Air Transport Consultancy
Download
1 / 35

Grand Forks Report - PowerPoint PPT Presentation


  • 333 Views
  • Updated On :

International Air Transport Consultancy. Air Service Issues at Grand Forks and North Dakota. Presented to:. Presented by:. The Grand Forks Community. David Dague. November 29, 2001. Post 9/11 Air Service Changes.

Related searches for Grand Forks Report

loader
I am the owner, or an agent authorized to act on behalf of the owner, of the copyrighted work described.
capcha
Download Presentation

PowerPoint Slideshow about 'Grand Forks Report' - Jimmy


An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation

Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author.While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server.


- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - E N D - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Presentation Transcript
Slide1 l.jpg

International Air Transport Consultancy

Air ServiceIssues at Grand Forks and North Dakota

Presented to:

Presented by:

The Grand Forks Community

David Dague

November 29, 2001


Slide2 l.jpg

Post 9/11

Air Service Changes


Slide3 l.jpg
Among the Major Carriers, United Airlines Had the Largest Service Decline and Southwest Had the Least

% Change in Daily Scheduled Seats

Pre September 11th vs. November 2001

Source: OAG Schedule Tapes


The us airline industry was in a gradual state of decline before september 11th l.jpg
The US Airline Industry Was in a Gradual State of Decline Before September 11th

Change in Load Factors From Prior Year

US Major Airlines

Source: Carrier SEC Filings.


Even with the federal airline bailout the financial results for the 3rd qtr were disastrous l.jpg
Even with the Federal Airline Bailout the Before September 11thFinancial Results for the 3rd Qtr Were Disastrous

Source: Airline SEC Filings.


The reduction in flying after september 11th is equivalent to grounding 800 jet aircraft l.jpg
The Reduction in Flying After September 11th Before September 11this Equivalent to Grounding 800 Jet Aircraft

Source: OAG Schedule Tapes, USDOT, Form41


Slide7 l.jpg
Nonstop Service Operated With Hushkitted Stage 3 Narrow Bodies Has Declined Significantly Since 9/11

% Change in Daily Departures by U.S Airlines

Pre September 11th vs. November 2001

Source: OAG Schedule Tapes.


Slide8 l.jpg
The Majority of Post 9/11 Service Reductions Bodies Has Declined Significantly Since 9/11at Hub Airports Have Occurred in the Early Morning and Late Evening Hours

Source: OAG Schedule Tapes


The northeast region had the largest decline in capacity after 9 11 l.jpg

Mountain Bodies Has Declined Significantly Since 9/11

-15.7%

Northeast

-20.5%

Central

-14.4%

Pacific

-16.9%

Great Lakes

-15.6%

Southeast

-11.1%

Southwest

-12.6%

Florida

-9.2%

The Northeast Region Had the Largest Decline in Capacity After 9/11

Source: OAG Schedule Tapes


In the central region north dakota had the smallest decline in capacity post 9 11 l.jpg

-5.7% Bodies Has Declined Significantly Since 9/11

-17.5%

-25.4%

-18.1%

-8.6%

-11.8%

-13.6%

In the Central Region, North Dakota Had the Smallest Decline in Capacity Post 9/11

Change in Daily Seat DeparturesPre-September 11th vs. November 2001

Source: OAG Schedule Tapes


North dakota s post 9 11 air service changes l.jpg
North Dakota's Post 9/11 Air Service Changes Bodies Has Declined Significantly Since 9/11

Source: OAG Schedule Tapes


United s hubs are the hardest hit in terms of post 9 11 service reductions l.jpg
United's Hubs are the Hardest Hit in Terms of Bodies Has Declined Significantly Since 9/11Post 9/11 Service Reductions

Source: OAG Schedule Tapes


Service changes from northwest hubs l.jpg

Minneapolis Bodies Has Declined Significantly Since 9/11

Detroit

Memphis

Service Changes From Northwest Hubs

Source: OAG Schedule Tapes


Service changes from united hubs l.jpg

Chicago ORD Bodies Has Declined Significantly Since 9/11

San Francisco

Washington IAD

Denver

Los Angeles

Service Changes From United Hubs

Source: OAG Schedule Tapes


Service changes from delta air lines hubs l.jpg

Salt Lake City Bodies Has Declined Significantly Since 9/11

Cincinnati

New York JFK

Atlanta

Dallas/Ft. Worth

Orlando

Service Changes From Delta Air Lines Hubs

Source: OAG Schedule Tapes


Slide16 l.jpg

Grand Forks and Bodies Has Declined Significantly Since 9/11

North Dakota

Air Service Issues


North dakota s current service pattern l.jpg
North Dakota’s Current Service Pattern Bodies Has Declined Significantly Since 9/11

Source: OAG Schedule Tapes, December 2001.


During september 2001 most of the north dakota airports performed better than the national average l.jpg
During September 2001, Most of the North Dakota Airports Performed Better than the National Average

September Passenger Comparison of North Dakota Commercial Service Airports

U.S. Average

-33.4%

Devils

Lake

Minot

Fargo

Bismarck

Jamestown

GrandForks

Williston

Dickinson

TotalNorthDakota

Source: Aeronautics Commission.


October 2001 passenger boardings have improved but still not near normal levels l.jpg
October 2001 Passenger Boardings Have Improved But Still Not Near Normal Levels

October Passenger Comparison of North Dakota Commercial Service Airports

U.S. Average

-22.9%

Devils

Lake

Minot

Fargo

Bismarck

Jamestown

GrandForks

Williston

Dickinson

TotalNorthDakota

Source: Aeronautics Commission.


Grand forks total traffic passengers revenue and fares indexed to 1990 l.jpg
Grand Forks Total Traffic Near Normal LevelsPassengers, Revenue, and Fares Indexed to 1990

CY 1990 - YE 2Q 2001

Source: USDOT, O&D Survey, via Database Products


Grand forks top 25 o d passenger markets l.jpg
Grand Forks Top 25 O&D Passenger Markets Near Normal Levels

Year Ended 2nd Qtr 2001

Source: USDOT, O&D Survey, via Database Products


The pacific region is grand forks largest market area accounting for 21 of the total traffic l.jpg
The Pacific Region is Grand Forks Largest Market Area, Accounting for 21% of the Total Traffic

Pacific

21.4%

Mountain

7.1%

Northeast

13.3%

Great Lakes

13.1%

Central

18.2%

Southeast

7.2%

Southwest

12.6%

Florida

6.9%

Source: USDOT, O&D Survey, via Database Products


The grand forks load factor is at a nine year high l.jpg
The Grand Forks Load Factor is at a Nine Year High Accounting for 21% of the Total Traffic

CY 1990 - YE 2Q 2001

Source: USDOT, T100 Databank.


Slide24 l.jpg
Initial Analysis of Air Fares Offered in the State Accounting for 21% of the Total TrafficShows Discouraging Results for the EAS Communities

Phoenix Leisure Fares

Source: SH&E and UND Fare Tracking Database.


Slide25 l.jpg

Grand Forks Accounting for 21% of the Total Traffic

Air Service Expansion Opportunities


Slide26 l.jpg
Nine Major Connecting Hubs Are Within the Range for Potential Regional Jet Expansion from North Dakota


Slide27 l.jpg
Regional Jets Will Play an Important Role in Air Service Expansion from the Major North Dakota Airports

Delta

Northwest

United

Current Fleet

Orders

Current Fleet

Orders

Current Fleet

Orders

179

188

67

23

67

110


Frontier airlines provides 59 daily departures to 23 destinations from denver l.jpg
Frontier Airlines Provides 59 Daily Departures to Expansion from the Major North Dakota Airports23 Destinations From Denver

Source: OAG Schedule Tapes


Frontier s previous service pattern in north dakota may be feasible operated with regional jets l.jpg
Frontier’s Previous Service Pattern in North Dakota Expansion from the Major North Dakota AirportsMay be Feasible Operated With Regional Jets

Source: OAG

Schedule Tapes


Frontier s average fares at denver are consistently lower than united s l.jpg
Frontier's Average Fares at Denver Are Consistently Lower than United's

Source: USDOT, O&D Survey, via Database Products


Operating statistics for proposed united express grand forks denver nonstop service l.jpg
Operating Statistics For Proposed United Express than United'sGrand Forks - Denver Nonstop Service

2 Daily Roundtrips Operated With CRJ's


Financial results for proposed united express grand forks denver nonstop service l.jpg
Financial Results for Proposed United Express Grand Forks - Denver Nonstop Service

2 Daily Roundtrips Operated With CRJ's

/1 @ 1.5% of passenger revenue based on regional jet experience


Delta air lines operates 282 daily departures to 66 nonstop destinations from salt lake city l.jpg
Delta Air Lines Operates 282 Daily Departures to Denver Nonstop Service66 Nonstop Destinations from Salt Lake City

Source: OAG Schedule Tapes


Summary of proposed new regional jet markets from salt lake city l.jpg
Summary of Proposed New Regional Denver Nonstop ServiceJet Markets From Salt Lake City


Sh e has been hired to perform the north dakota statewide air service update l.jpg
SH&E Has Been Hired to Perform the Denver Nonstop ServiceNorth Dakota Statewide Air Service Update

  • Analyze Air Fares

  • Airline Recovery

  • Feasibility of an Intra-State Network

  • Feasibility of Expanded Service From the Four Major Airports - BIS, FAR, GFK, MOT

    • Regional Jets

    • New Hub Services

    • Expand Existing Service

  • Essential Air Service Program Enhancements

  • Other Study Topics - Create Historic Databases, Role of Charters, Load Factors, Marketing Effectiveness


ad