Polling and the Ballot In Venezuela. Mark Weisbrot November 10, 2006. Recall Election. National referendum on whether to recall President Chavez, held in Venezuela on August 15, 2004. Results. Results, according to the National Electoral Council: 58.3-41.4% reconfirming Chavez.
Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author.While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server.
Polling and the Ballot In Venezuela
November 10, 2006
The probability of the Penn, Schoen, and Berland exit poll getting its result from sampling error is far less than:
1 in 10,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
-- Jimmy Carter
(National Catholic Reporter, 9/03/04)
Recent P, S & B poll shows Chavez ahead 50-37, Financial Times reports.
“However, the pollsters concluded that Mr. Chavez’s real support level was likely to be much lower because an important number of potential voters are fearful of criticising him.” – Financial Times, 9/29/06
Note: the rest of the international media ignored this recent poll.
(2) AKSA (Alfredo Keller SA)
After the coup and in the midst of the oil strike to topple the Venezuelan government (December 2002), describing the conflict as “a fight to the death for power between two counter-posed ideological forces: an authoritarian socialism with a spirit of revenge against a democracy that is open to the market.”
-- Alfredo Keller, President of AKSA
letter to Petroleum World (12/17/02)