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Presentation of Proposed Grouping of 2006 Energy Efficiency programs for Evaluation Planning. Mike Messenger CEC Evaluation Staff July 20, 2005.

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presentation of proposed grouping of 2006 energy efficiency programs for evaluation planning

Presentation of Proposed Grouping of 2006 Energy Efficiency programs for Evaluation Planning

Mike Messenger

CEC Evaluation Staff

July 20, 2005

slide2
Problem Statement- How to group programs across utility service areas and program strategies to facilitate timely completion of Process, Impact and Market assessment within a 3 year cycle and staffing constraints
criteria for grouping scheduling
Criteria for Grouping/Scheduling
  • Be able to estimate/validate performance basis for major programs for each area
  • Fine enough detail to provide useful process insights to improve strategies
  • Reduce number of evaluation contracts
  • Allow for evaluation of the effectiveness of marketing and potential measurement of spillover impacts
  • Stage process, impact and market assessment over three year cycles; don’t want all impact in first year for example
proposed grouping strategies evaluated
Proposed Grouping Strategies Evaluated
  • By Program Strategy
  • By End use and Customer segment
  • By Market Segment
  • By Utility Service Area
  • By Customer Segment
  • Tentative Winner- Strategy and Major Market Segments
evaluation objectives for market assessments 4 total
Evaluation Objectives for Market Assessments ( 4 total)
  • Provide an estimate of the total energy and peak savings achieved in this market over the last 2? Years for each of the four utility areas and a breakdown of the relative share of each of the major strategies operating in the market. ( include spillover?)
  • Provide an assessment of the extent that these programs have caused changes in market structure and their sustainability
evaluation objectives for impact assessments
Evaluation Objectives for Impact Assessments
  • Estimate/Validate ex ante estimates of program strategy savings using protocols
  • Provide insights about why there may be differences between ex ante and ex post values
  • Estimate impacts by end use and measure if feasible
evaluation objectives for process evaluations
Evaluation Objectives for Process Evaluations
  • Evaluate effectiveness of marketing and program designs
  • Evaluate if program theory is valid
  • Provide suggestions for improvement both in program processes and methods to reach and motivate customers
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